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Friday October 9th, 2026

Oil prices top $50, Asian shares struggle on China worries

TOKYO, May 26 (Reuters) – Brent crude oil rose above $50 a barrel for the first time in nearly seven months on Thursday but Asian shares struggled to gain traction, with worries about U.S. interest rates and China’s slowing economy keeping many investors on the sidelines.

While energy stocks outperformed, a slump in mainland China stocks to 2-1/2 month lows dampened any broader interest in riskier assets in Asia, offsetting overnight gains on Wall Street.

"The market environment is not bad overall. Oil prices are rising, which would benefit oil producing countries. But Asia may be hurt by concerns about the Chinese economy," said Shuji Shirota, associate director at HSBC in Tokyo.

"The market’s focus is returning to the Fed, given rising expectations that they could hike rates much earlier than expected. That is weighing on many emerging markets as well," he said.

Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.3 percent but MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was almost flat, struggling to extend its rebound from Tuesday’s 12-week low. It had gained 1.2 percent on Wednesday.

Shanghai shares fell more than 1 percent, with sentiment frail after a series of disappointing economic data earlier this month and fears that policymakers may be taking a more cautious stance on further stimulus as debt levels grow.

Share prices rallied globally overnight, led by European banks, which benefit from a decision by euro zone finance ministers to unlock new funds for Greece and to give it a firm offer of debt relief.

On Wall Street, U.S. S&P 500 Index rose around 0.7 percent to 2,091, its highest in almost a month and near its six-month intraday high of 2,111.

Energy stocks outperformed on the back of continued recovery in oil prices, which hit seven-month highs after the U.S. government reported a larger-than-expected drop in crude inventories.

Global benchmark Brent futures rose 34 cents or about 0.6 percent to as high as $50.08 per barrel, the highest level since early November. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hit $49.88, a seven-month high.

The rally in U.S. and European shares came even as investors readied themselves for monetary tightening by the U.S. Federal Reserve as early as next month.

The yield on two-year U.S. notes rose to a 10-week high of 0.938 percent on Wednesday as investors priced in the likelihood of the Fed raising its federal funds target rate to 0.50-0.75 percent from the current 0.25-0.50 percent in coming months.

It last stood at 0.903 percent, almost a quarter percentage point above this month’s low of 0.686 percent.

Market players are awaiting comments by Fed Chair Janet Yellen at a Harvard University event on Friday, though many also say her speech scheduled for June 6 – after new U.S. payrolls data comes out – would be even more crucial.

Recent comments by Fed policymakers have put a possible rate hike this summer firmly on the table for discussion, but U.S. interest rate futures <0#FF:> are still pricing in only about one-third chance of a rate hike in June and about a 60 percent likelihood by July.

The prospects of higher U.S. interest rates undermined the attraction of gold, which fell to a seven-week low of $1,217.90 per ounce though it came back up a tad in Asia to trade at $1,231.

In the currencies, sterling rose to $1.4700, near its four-month peak of $1.4770 hit earlier this month, as several bookmakers widened the odds on a British "Brexit" from the European Union after opinion polls showing the "in" camp leading.

The dollar was generally supported by U.S. rate hike expectations, while the euro stood at $.1151, having hit a 10-week low of $1.1129 overnight.

But it saw a 0.5 percent loss against the yen to 109.64 yen in early Asian trade in an erratic move.

Foreign investors buy Sri Lanka rupee bonds after selling for two weeks

ECONOMYNEXT – Foreign investors bought Sri Lanka rupee bonds for the first time in three weeks in the week ended on October 01, Central Bank data showed, amid a stable rupee.

With the latest inflows, the island nation has witnessed net foreign buying in 14 weeks in the last 16.

Offshore investors bought a net 1,821 million rupees (US$5.5 million) worth of Sri Lanka rupee bonds. They sold a net Rs.16.5 billion worth of rupee bonds in the last two weeks.

The inflows helped boost foreign holdings in government securities to 196.8 billion rupees.

Analysts said a stable local currency helped foreign buying last week.

The rupee had been steady for more than three years before the sharp depreciation in May with the Central Bank citing higher oil and vehicle imports amid a lingering conflict in the Middle East.

The rupee has fallen 6.2 percent through October 2 this year.

Globally, investors are cautious about economic growth due to the impact of the latest Middle East escalation.

The island nation has enjoyed a total inflow of around 57.5 billion rupees into rupee bonds so far this year, following a net inflow of 71.5 billion rupees last year.

The island nation has seen an uptick in inflation in the last six months following a nearly 50 percent hike in fuel prices.

The government raised fuel prices last week after reducing in the last weeks of June and August.

The Central Bank raised its key monetary policy rate by 100 basis points in May to curb inflationary pressure stemming from higher demand.

Before the May rate hike, the Central Bank kept its key policy rates steady since May 2025 after reducing them by 825 basis points over 24 months since June 2023 and foreign investors have been buying rupee bonds despite slight depreciation in the local currency (Colombo/October 08/2026)

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Sri Lanka rupee closes at 330.95/331.00 to US dollar spot, bond yields steady

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s rupee closed at 330.95/331.00 to the US dollar in the spot market on Thursday, from 330.90/331.00 the previous day, while bond yields closed broadly steady, dealers said.

A bond maturing on 01.08.2030 closed flat at 11.25/35 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.10.2030 closed at 11.30/40 percent, down from 11.35/40 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.02.2031 closed at 11.35/45 percent, down from 11.40/45 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.12.2032 closed at 11.75/80 percent, up from 11.70/80 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.10.2034 closed at 12.05/15 percent, up from 12.05/10 percent. (Colombo/Oct8/2026)

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Sri Lanka, IMF in talks over new “long term growth targeted” deal after March 2027: Minister

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka is in discussion with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on a new programme after the completion of the current Extended Fund Facility (EFF), Deputy Finance Minister Anil Jayantha told Parliament on Thursday.

“The current IMF EFF program is on track to conclude successfully in March 2027, marking the completion of its economic reform and recovery efforts under the arrangements,” the Deputy Minister said in response to a question raised by the opposition.

“In parallel, discussions are currently underway regarding the options beyond the current program, reflecting a shift from crisis-driven support towards a more sustainable, long-term growth-targeted engagement model.”

Sri Lanka sought IMF deal after the island nation experienced an unprecedented economic collapse that culminated in its first-ever sovereign default in April 2022.

Severely depleted foreign exchange reserves, exacerbated by years of loose fiscal policies, high-profile tax cuts, organic farming mandates that damaged agricultural yields, and the economic blow dealt by the COVID-19 pandemic, left the island nation unable to service its $51 billion external debt stock.

The resulting crisis triggered severe shortages of fuel, medicines, and staple foods, hyperinflation exceeding 70%, and widespread public protests that ultimately forced the resignations of key government figures, including former President Gotabaya Rajapaksa.

The four-year, $3 billion EFF program was conditioned on a rigorous slate of macroeconomic and structural reforms, including tax hikes, energy cost-reflective pricing, expenditure controls, and strict central bank independence.

Central to the arrangement was a complex sovereign debt restructuring process, requiring the island nation to negotiate bilateral debt relief with major sovereign creditors, such as China, India, and Paris Club members, alongside commercial international sovereign bondholders.

The implementation of the EFF has since driven a significant macroeconomic turnaround, marked by a stabilizing exchange rate, a rebuild of gross official foreign exchange reserves, and a return to positive GDP growth.

However, maintaining compliance with program targets has generated considerable social and political friction.

Demands for broader anti-corruption measures, tax fairness, and enhanced social safety nets remain high as the government balances strict IMF revenue targets against domestic pressures to alleviate the elevated cost of living. (Colombo/October 08/2026)

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Sri Lanka stocks close down 1.38-pct; LMF crossing pushes turnover

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Colombo Stock Exchange closed lower on Thursday, CSE data showed, with the benchmark All Share Price Index falling 1.38 percent.

The ASPI was down 283.21 points at 20,234.34, while the more liquid S&P SL20 was down 0.82 percent, or 47.82 points, at 5,768.58.

Positive contributors to the ASPI were HNB Life (up 3.04 percent at 144.25 rupees), Renuka Holdings (up 2.16 percent at 37.90 rupees), Odel (up 2.06 percent at 9.90 rupees), and Hayleys (up 0.22 percent at 223.00 rupees).

Carson Cumberbatch (down 3.39 percent at 676.25 rupees), Distilleries Company of Sri Lanka (down 2.85 percent at 51.10 rupees), Hemas Holdings (down 2.56 percent at 30.50 rupees), Dialog Axiata (down 1.34 percent at 44.10 rupees), and Hatton National Bank (down 0.99 percent at 375.50 rupees) were top negative contributors.

Market turnover was 2.74 billion rupees.

High turnover was largely driven by crossing transactions, with Lanka Milk Foods recording crossings of about 1 billion rupees and Sunshine Holdings seeing a crossing of around 300 million rupees. (Colombo/Oct08/2026)

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Sri Lanka’s SEC urges public not to deposit, invest in Quantum AI Limited  

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has warned the public in dealing with a company called Quantum AI Limited for trading and investment and urged them not to deposit any funds.

The regulator, on its X platform, stated it “wishes to inform the public that Quantum AI Limited is not licensed, registered, or authorized by the SEC to conduct securities trading, investment services, or any other regulated capital market activities in Sri Lanka.”

“The public is strongly advised not to deposit funds, invest, or engage in any trading or investment activities through Quantum AI Limited.”

“Before investing, always verify that the entity is duly licensed or registered by the SEC. Protect your investments. Deal only with SEC authorized market intermediaries.” 

Officials from Quantum AI Limited were not immediately available for comment on the SEC’s statement. 

Sri Lanka has increasingly seen illegal firms taking deposits and investments while promising higher returns.

Last week, the Central Bank warned the public against investing in plantation companies that are not regulated by it. (Colombo/October 08/2026) 

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Sri Lanka’s 2027 appropriation bill sets 20% rise in recurrent spending from last year, less capex

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s 2027 appropriation bill tabled in Parliament with details of allocations for each ministry, has increased recurrent expenditure by a fifth and cut capital expenditure by 5.4 percent compared to the last year.

The bill sets out 3,240.2 billion rupees as current spending, more than a fifth higher than allocated for last year.

It also shows the capital expenditure has been set at 1,752.5 billion, 5.4 percent less than allocated for last year.

The capex also does not conform to the capex in the formal budget presentation.

It also sets a borrowing limit of 3,800 billion rupees.

The borrowing includes roll-overs and does not correspond to the new financing (deficit) shown in the budget presentation.

The presentation of the Appropriation Bill on Wednesday (07) is considered the first reading of the budget.

In his capacity as the Minister of Finance, President Anura Kumara Dissanayake will present the second reading of the Appropriation Bill (the Budget Speech) on November 12. Seven days have been allocated, from November 13 to 20, for the second reading debate.

According to the Appropriation Bill, the largest allocation has been made to the Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development, amounting to Rs.856.8 billion.

Provincial Councils are allocated Rs. 659.9 billion; the Ministry of Public Administration, Provincial Councils and Local Government has been allocated Rs. 651 billion, Ministry of Health and Media Rs. 590.5 billion, Ministry of Transport, Highways and Urban Development Rs. 500 billion, Ministry of Defence Rs. 458 billion, and Ministry of Education, Higher Education and Vocational Education Rs. 328 billion.  (Colombo/October 08/2026)

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