An Echelon Media Company
Tuesday January 31st, 2023
Bellwether

Sri Lanka central bank caught between peg and hard place

Care should be taken to make sure that excess liquidity does not re-emerge from fictitious capital

January 19, 2023 8 min read

Sri Lanka's central bank crisis and John Exter's about face on hard pegs: Bellwether

In 1968 with Bretton Woods soft-peg hanging on a thread, advantages of currency board had become clear

December 15, 2022 7 min read

Sri Lanka's tragedy and the lost wisdom of D S Senanayake on money printing

That BOP deficits and reserve losses are caused by money printing is now hidden and victims are blamed

October 24, 2022 9 min read

Sri Lanka rates elevated amid failed float and DDR fears

Fear of a DDR/IFR event drive rates even higher

September 19, 2022 13 min read
Sri Lanka is wrong to scapegoat expat workers over Undiyal: Bellwether

Indian billion dollar credit line also works Undiyal fashion

Sri Lanka, world's poor suffers from Fed's accidental discovery: Bellwether

It is through open market operations that money is printed to mis-target interest rates

Sri Lanka's central bank needs accountability and restraint, not independence: Bellwether

The absolute discretion to print money through flexible inflation targeting cum output gap targeting has to be blocked

Bellwether
June 1, 2022 12 min read

Sri Lanka can trigger food shortages as in medicines with new trade controls: Bellwether

Forcing food importers to use LCs can create food shortages.

April 29, 2022 11 min read

What Sri Lanka's IMF program should look like

Steep rate hikes are needed to save the rupee

Bellwether
April 7, 2022 15 min read

Sri Lanka has to work fast to contain multiple defaults as Tanzi bites: Bellwether

A flexible exchange rate fails because it is not rule bound

Bellwether
April 1, 2022 9 min read

Sri Lanka has to hike rates, ensure monetary fiscal co-ordination to help rupee: Bellwether

Monetary fiscal co-ordination comes from an International Monetary Fund

March 10, 2022 4 min read
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Sri Lanka use of reserves for imports is a deadly false choice: Bellwether

Sterilized currency defence, without an accompanying rise in rates, spells disaster

January 31, 2022 17 min read
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Sri Lanka has to hike rates, tourism recovery will not help end forex crisis: Bellwether

At the current policy rates and sterilization of interventions, forex problems will not get better

Bellwether
January 18, 2022 16 min read

Sri Lanka should prepare to float, and promote parallel dollarization: Bellwether

The proposal to import cars with dollar earnings and pay taxes in dollars is absolutely correct

December 21, 2021 16 min read

Why the Sri Lanka rupee is depreciating creating currency crises: Bellwether

A Bellwether FAQ on the dangerous lack of note-issue banking know-how

Bellwether
November 9, 2021 27 min read
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How Sri Lanka's IMF-backed 'Young Plan' fired a foreign debt death spiral: Bellwether

In all years with inflationary policy, debt after foreign reserves went up

Bellwether
September 16, 2021 18 min read
Morning Briefing Gain clarity on the biggest stories of the day with our daily newsletter, Morning Briefing
Latest Last
US Dollar 371.7127 371.6601
UK Pound 453.5962 453.9794
Euro 396.3156 396.4763
Aus Dollar 250.1862 251.1981
Yen 2.8251 2.7549
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
Latest Last
Indian Rupee 4.3961 4.3963
Korea Won 0.2820 0.2791
Oman Rial 943.2237 943.2268
Saudi Riyal 96.7270 96.7115
UAE Dirham 98.8729 98.8786
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
pts %
S&P SL20 2,653.84 -1.51%
CSE All Share 8,420.26 -1.04%
Turnover Rs million 4,621,153,484 2,824,714,520
Source: CSE
Latest Last
3-m bill 31.03 31.03
6-m bill 29.57 29.60
12-m bill 28.41 28.41
5-yr bond 27.49 27.57
8-yr bond 27.44 27.23
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
today yesterday
Overnight Money 15.50 15.50
Gilt Repo 15.50 15.50
I-m SLIBOR - -
Source: Central Bank/Indicative

Sri Lanka's monetary meltdown will accelerate unless quick action is taken: Bellwether

Debt re-structuring to reduce gross financing needs will help

Bellwether
August 18, 2021 19 min read

Sri Lanka Minister follows Diocletian after printing money, but stops short of death penalty

Diocletian minted in copper in plenty what was scarce in silver, Sri Lanka is pumping liquidity in paper

Bellwether
August 13, 2021 5 min read

Sri Lanka economy bought to tipping point by monetary fallacies: Bellwether

Mercantilist fallacies have devasted countries at peace

Bellwether
August 11, 2021 21 min read

Sri Lanka to pick losers as omniscient elites drive interventionism to extremes: Bellwether

'A new type of superstition has got hold of people's minds, the worship of the state'

Bellwether
July 30, 2021 7 min read

Sri Lanka's central bank should guard against bankruptcy as Fed lights commodity fires

Sri Lanka's central bank is running out of reserves, a part of the remaining reserves are tied up in swaps, the country ...

Bellwether
April 19, 2021 25 min read

Sri Lanka debt crisis trapped in spurious Keynesian 'transfer problem' and MMT: Bellwether

In Sri Lanka politicians are blamed for the country's economic ills and rising default risk, but it is only partly their...

Bellwether
March 15, 2021 23 min read

How to fix Sri Lanka's debt crisis, unstable peg, avoid sudden stop event: Bellwether

Sri Lanka is facing a monumental state failure after denying economic and civil freedoms for decades

Bellwether
February 24, 2021 25 min read
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Solving Sri Lanka's debt and monetary crisis sans the IMF, like Japan, Malaysia: Bellwether

The question is often asked whether Sri Lanka do without an International Monetary Fund program. It is certainly possi...

Bellwether
February 22, 2021 11 min read
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Sri Lanka facing 2021 with reckless MMT, stimulus mania: Bellwether

Sri Lanka is heading for one of the biggest economic challenges in its history in 2021, with the central bank printing m...

Bellwether
January 26, 2021 15 min read

Why Sri Lanka cannot be a Singapore, a Chief Festus budget: Bellwether

Sri Lanka aspired to be a Singapore after liberalizing trade and ending a closed economy of the 1970s, but it all failed...

Bellwether
December 21, 2020 18 min read
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