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Friday June 2nd, 2023

Sri Lanka bans more imports after printing excess money amid Coronavirus crisis

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka has banned more imports until July 2020 while allowing some items to be imported on three months credit, according to an order under the country’s export and import control law of 1969, which was used in the control economy period of 1970s.

Among the most problematic items that have been restricted include screws, nuts and bolts, asbestos washers, batteries, small motors, which can bring the country’s industrial machinery, vehicles and equipment to a standstill like in the 1970s, observers say.

Rice, fish, ornamental fish, grains, maize, black gram, vegetable oil, mall, pasta, communion wafers (used by churches), alcohol, vinegar, cement, paints, essential oil, asbestos washes, granite, marble, ceramic tiles, sanitary ware, have been banned.

Wrist watches, beauty products, wigs apparel, some building materials, wood items, footwear, festive or carnival items and brushes have been banned.

A series of other items are allowed on three months credit.

Milk and cream in powder with sugar, yoghurt (HScode 4.02, 4.03), dhall, red lentils (07.13), wheat and meslin (10.01), palm oil, sunflower oil (15.11, 15.12), cane or been sugar (17.01), cement 25.23, coal (27.01), iron and steel, rolled iron (72.01-29), alloy wires (72.29) and sheet piling iron 73.01.

Railway tracks (73.02), tubes (73.04-06), fabricated metal items (73.08), tanks (73.09), screws, nuts, bolts, rivets, cotter pins, (73.18), sewing needles (73.19), springs and leaf springs (73.20), cookers (73.21), radiators (73.22), iron, sanitary wear (73.24), electric motors (85.01), solar cells and motors (85.01), electrical transformer items (85.04), electro magnets, (85.05), batteries and cells (85.06), lead acid batteries (85.07).

Sri Lanka’s central bank cut rates from January 30 and started printing money from the last week of February and sharply ratcheted liquidity injections in March, putting pressure on the rupee and breaking the credibility of the soft-peg.

At least 140 billion of the money however had been drawn down from the system with higher use of cash in the country. But money had been printed in excess of the drawdown.

On Friday overnight excess liquidity in the banking system shot up to 140 billion rupees from 84 billion rupees a day earlier with the Treasury bill stock of the central bank going up to 283 billion rupees from 263 billion.

Another 15 billion rupees were offered to be injected by the central bank despite the excess liquidity and 1.5 billion rupees were taken at 6.50 percent the middle of the policy corridor.

During the tenure of Governor Indrajit Coomaraswamy the country lost the protection of the policy corridor and external risks expanded, analysts have pointed out.

In addition another practice of not buying long term bonds, which given the power for the central bank to suppress the longer term yield curve and create more distortions, a rule operated by then-Governor A S Jayewardene was also casually abandoned.

Related

Sri Lanka makes fresh helicopter drop of liquidity as nation fights off Coronavirus

In the 1970s most of the the Treasury bills were owned by the central bank. Governor Jayewardene started a secondary market in bills to get real saving and reduce money printing and stop the country going back to the 1970s forex shortage and import control era. (Colombo/Apr19/2020)

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Sri Lanka to ramp up weekend fuel deliveries after petrol price cut

More deaths reported at Sri Lanka fuel queues

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s state-run Ceylon Petroleum Corporation will be operating on the weekend to complete all fuel deliveries to end vehicle queues forming outside fuel stations after the price revision earlier in the week, Energy Minister Kanchana Wijesekera said.

“Instructions have been given to CPC and Ceylon Petroleum Storage Terminals to continue fuel deliveries on Saturday and Sunday this week to supply sufficient stocks to all fuel stations,” Minister Wijesekera said in a TWITTER.COM MESSAGE

“To reduce expenses on overtime, CPC and CPSTL have not been operating on Sundays and public holidays in the last 4 months,” Wijesekera said.

“Non-placement of orders by fuel stations from last Saturday, anticipating a price reduction, not maintaining minimum stocks, immediate increase in demand by consumers after the price revision, and quota increase have created shortages in the fuel stations.”

The Minister in April 2023 said all fuel stations would be required to maintain a minimum of 50 percent of stock tank capacity.

“I have asked CPC to review and suspend the license of fuel stations that had not maintained minimum stocks.” (Colombo/ June 02/ 2023)

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Sri Lanka bonds yield up at close, rupee at 291.75/292.50 against the US dollar

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s bonds closed steady on Friday, dealers said, following the central bank’s decision to cut its main policy rate by 250 basis points.

The Spot US dollar closed at 291.75/292.50 rupees, dealers said.

The rupee opened at 290.25/75 to the US dollar Thursday and closed at 292.50/295.50 to the US dollar.

A bond maturing on 15.09.2027 closed at 24.70/90 percent up from 24.50/90 percent a day earlier, dealers said.

A bond maturing on 15.05.2026 closed at 25.75/26.25 percent up from 25.00/26.00 percent a day earlier.

A bond maturing on 01.05.2025 closed at 27.00/30 percent, up from 26.30/27.00 per cent at last close.

A bond maturing on 01.07.2032 closed at 20.25/21.00 percent, up from 20.00/40 per cent at last close.
(Colombo/ June 02/2023)

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Sri Lanka’s shares edge up on positive macroeconomic sentiments

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s shares closed higher in trade on Friday, over positive macro-sentiments encouraging investors to redeem their interest towards buying, an analyst said.

The main All Share Price Index was up 0.72 percent or 62.19 points to 8,753.80,  while the most liquid index S&P SL20 was up 0.68 percent or 16.87 points to 2,487.29.

Sri Lanka’s inflation in the 12-months to May 2023 has eased to 25.2 percent from 35.3 percent a month earlier according to a revised Colombo Consumer Price Index calculated by the state statistics office.

Prior to the Monetary Policy investors were quite optimistic that inflation is to lower and interest rates will decrease and since exp, an analyst said.

Sri Lanka Central Bank is waiting for the government proposal on the domestic debt restructuring (DDR), the central bank governor Nandalal Weerasinghe said amid uncertainty over DDR and speculations over instability in the banking sector.

“On debt restructuring, the borrower is the ministry of finance’s treasury. Certainly we will announce what the strategy will be. We are waiting for a government proposal,” Weerasinghe said.

Sri Lanka’s investors are waiting on assurances to be made on debt restructuring and optimization, Central Bank Governor Nandalal Weerasinghe said, “It is up to the government to clear the uncertainty, because from our side we have done that part.”

The central bank cut the key policy rates by 250 basis points to spur a faltering economic growth as inflation was decelerating faster than it projected.

The speculation of DDR has hit the market and the risk premium has kept the market lending rates well above the central bank’s policy rates. The government has yet to present its plans on DDR.

Weerasinghe said the central bank has done its best to reduce the risk premium through bringing down the market lending rates while keeping the policy rates unchanged.

Sri Lanka’s President Ranil Wickremesinghe has discussed progress of International Monetary Fund program and debt restructuring during a visit of Deputy Managing Director Kenji Okamura, statement said.

“The discussion primarily focused on the progress of the IMF program between Sri Lanka and the IMF,” a statement from President’s office said.

“Attention was also paid to the on-going debt restructuring negotiations.”

However Officials from IMF have said Sri Lanka has to focus on expanding taxes.

“We discussed the importance of fiscal measures, in particular revenue measures, for a return to macroeconomic stability,” Deputy Managing Director Kenji Okamura said in a statement.

The finance ministry this week issued rules requiring everyone above 18 year of age to register to pay income tax.

“I was encouraged by the authorities’ commitment to negotiate a debt strategy in a timely and transparent manner.

The market generated a revenue of 738 million rupees, while the daily average was 1 billion rupees.

Top gainers in trade were Vallibel One, LOLC Finance and Browns Investment. (Colombo/June02/2023)

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