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Friday October 9th, 2026

Sri Lanka blocked free trade while Singapore allowed freedom

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka has lost free trade which made the country a strategic trading hub from ancient times, but Singapore gave trade freedoms making it an example to follow, Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe has said in Singapore.

Though Singapore had admired Sri Lanka (then Ceylon) under Prime Minister D S Senanayake (the first Prime Minister after British rule) Prime Minister Wickemesinghe had said the country then took away trade freedoms from citizens .

President J R Jayawardene had to follow Singapore’s example (Sri Lanka economy was closed until 1977), to go forward, Wickremesinghe was quoted as saying at a felicitation lunch in Singapore with Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong.

Analysts however say Jayawardene’s reforms failed to bring substantial prosperity as he did not abolish or significantly reform the country’s central bank allowing it to print money and inflate the economy, triggering impoverishment and labour unrest.

Sri Lanka’s trade restrictions were imposed party due to frequent foreign currency shortages and balance of payments crises that came after a money printing central bank was created in 1951, replacing the earlier currency board, which allowed free capital mobility and a rock solid currency.

After a bout of money printing Sri Lanka is now going another balance of payments crisis and rising inflation.

Singapore however kept its currency board (later modified but without a policy rate so that the exchange rate can be targeted at will) giving monetary stability, capital mobility and depriving any predatory domestic producer his most potent Mercantilist argument – saving foreign exchange.

Sri Lanka and Singapore both occupied strategic locations in Asia, and the British Empire was unwilling to let go of both locations until the last moment, Wickremesinghe had said.

Sri Lanka has seen a rise in the political power of predatory domestic producers in recent years with higher import duty protection to exploit the poor the last regime which made fat ca business less competitive and unable to compete in global markets while workers also had to pay high prices for goods, reducing their living standards.

Immigrants from Sri Lanka had contributed to the country’s multi-cultural society, Prime Minister Lee had said.

Analysts say immigration was widespread under Indian and British colonization of South and South East Asia until European colonials brought the concept of citizenship, visa and passports, which was eagerly seized upon by nationalists after independence to block migration in many countries.

Singapore’s socialist – leaning People Action Party however discarded nationalism.

Several former British colonies countries including Sri Lanka and Malaysia ended up in nationalist hate generating riots and mass-killing emulating developments in Eastern Europe the break-up of the Austro-Hungarian Empire, which eventually ended up in Nazism analysts say.

Singapore (Singha pura or Lion City) was an outpost in Indianized South East Asia which became an important trading hub after coming under Seri Teri Buana, who was originally connected to the Hindu-Bhuddist Srivijaya maritime empire in Indonesia.

Singapore declined after his descendant Parameswara (Supreme King) who was by then also believed to be known as Iskandar Shah was driven out by Indonesia’s Majapahit rulers.

The fleeing Iskanda Shah who understood free trade established Malacca as a key trading hub displacing Singapore, around the time Islam began to spread in East Asia.

Malacca flourished as a commercial centre until the Portuguese arrived bringing Mercantilism to Asia and free trade declined. The latter stages of British rule however – after the end of the trading monopolies of the British East India Company – saw free trade returning.

The Portuguese official Tome Pires, who was sent to Malacca soon after its fall to Portuguese had this to say in (In Suma Oriental) about multi-cultural Malacca where traders from Sri Lanka were also present.

"Moors from Cairo, Mecca, Aden, Abyssinians, men of Kilwa, Malindi, Hormuz, Parsees, Rumes, Turks, Turkomens, Christian Armenians, Gujaratis, men of Chaul, Dabhol, Goa, of the Kingdom of Deccan, Malabars and Klings, merchants from Orissa, Ceylon, Bengal, Arakan, Pegu, Siamese, men of Kedah, Malays, men of Pahang, Patani, Cambodia, Champa, Cochin China, Chinese, Lequeos, men of Brunei, Lus;oes, men of Tamjompura, Laue, Banka, .Ling a (they have a thousand other islands), Moluccas, Banda, Bima, Timor, Madura, Java, Sunda, Palembang, J ambi, Tongkal, Indragiri, Kappatta, Menangkabau, Siak, Arc at, Aru, Bata, country of the Tomjano, Pase, Pedir, Maldives."

Pires counted 84 languages being spoken in Malacca. (Colombo/July19/2016)

Sri Lanka sells extra Rs8bn Treasury bills after auction

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka has sold 8,000 million rupees of treasury bills offered on tap at average rates of 9.44 percent and 9.95 percent, the public debt management office said, bringing the total of bills sold in the week to 88 billion rupees.

Total market subscription was 16,025 million rupees.

The debt office sold a 6-month bill at 9.44 percent.

The debt office sold a 12-month bill at 9.95 percent.

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Sri Lanka Treasury bill yields rise marginally, Rs80bn sold

On Wednesday (7) the debt office raised 80 billion rupees of 3, 6 and 12 month bills. (Colombo/Oct9/2026)

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Foreign investors buy Sri Lanka rupee bonds after selling for two weeks

ECONOMYNEXT – Foreign investors bought Sri Lanka rupee bonds for the first time in three weeks in the week ended on October 01, Central Bank data showed, amid a stable rupee.

With the latest inflows, the island nation has witnessed net foreign buying in 14 weeks in the last 16.

Offshore investors bought a net 1,821 million rupees (US$5.5 million) worth of Sri Lanka rupee bonds. They sold a net Rs.16.5 billion worth of rupee bonds in the last two weeks.

The inflows helped boost foreign holdings in government securities to 196.8 billion rupees.

Analysts said a stable local currency helped foreign buying last week.

The rupee had been steady for more than three years before the sharp depreciation in May with the Central Bank citing higher oil and vehicle imports amid a lingering conflict in the Middle East.

The rupee has fallen 6.2 percent through October 2 this year.

Globally, investors are cautious about economic growth due to the impact of the latest Middle East escalation.

The island nation has enjoyed a total inflow of around 57.5 billion rupees into rupee bonds so far this year, following a net inflow of 71.5 billion rupees last year.

The island nation has seen an uptick in inflation in the last six months following a nearly 50 percent hike in fuel prices.

The government raised fuel prices last week after reducing in the last weeks of June and August.

The Central Bank raised its key monetary policy rate by 100 basis points in May to curb inflationary pressure stemming from higher demand.

Before the May rate hike, the Central Bank kept its key policy rates steady since May 2025 after reducing them by 825 basis points over 24 months since June 2023 and foreign investors have been buying rupee bonds despite slight depreciation in the local currency (Colombo/October 08/2026)

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Sri Lanka rupee closes at 330.95/331.00 to US dollar spot, bond yields steady

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s rupee closed at 330.95/331.00 to the US dollar in the spot market on Thursday, from 330.90/331.00 the previous day, while bond yields closed broadly steady, dealers said.

A bond maturing on 01.08.2030 closed flat at 11.25/35 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.10.2030 closed at 11.30/40 percent, down from 11.35/40 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.02.2031 closed at 11.35/45 percent, down from 11.40/45 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.12.2032 closed at 11.75/80 percent, up from 11.70/80 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.10.2034 closed at 12.05/15 percent, up from 12.05/10 percent. (Colombo/Oct8/2026)

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Sri Lanka, IMF in talks over new “long term growth targeted” deal after March 2027: Minister

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka is in discussion with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on a new programme after the completion of the current Extended Fund Facility (EFF), Deputy Finance Minister Anil Jayantha told Parliament on Thursday.

“The current IMF EFF program is on track to conclude successfully in March 2027, marking the completion of its economic reform and recovery efforts under the arrangements,” the Deputy Minister said in response to a question raised by the opposition.

“In parallel, discussions are currently underway regarding the options beyond the current program, reflecting a shift from crisis-driven support towards a more sustainable, long-term growth-targeted engagement model.”

Sri Lanka sought IMF deal after the island nation experienced an unprecedented economic collapse that culminated in its first-ever sovereign default in April 2022.

Severely depleted foreign exchange reserves, exacerbated by years of loose fiscal policies, high-profile tax cuts, organic farming mandates that damaged agricultural yields, and the economic blow dealt by the COVID-19 pandemic, left the island nation unable to service its $51 billion external debt stock.

The resulting crisis triggered severe shortages of fuel, medicines, and staple foods, hyperinflation exceeding 70%, and widespread public protests that ultimately forced the resignations of key government figures, including former President Gotabaya Rajapaksa.

The four-year, $3 billion EFF program was conditioned on a rigorous slate of macroeconomic and structural reforms, including tax hikes, energy cost-reflective pricing, expenditure controls, and strict central bank independence.

Central to the arrangement was a complex sovereign debt restructuring process, requiring the island nation to negotiate bilateral debt relief with major sovereign creditors, such as China, India, and Paris Club members, alongside commercial international sovereign bondholders.

The implementation of the EFF has since driven a significant macroeconomic turnaround, marked by a stabilizing exchange rate, a rebuild of gross official foreign exchange reserves, and a return to positive GDP growth.

However, maintaining compliance with program targets has generated considerable social and political friction.

Demands for broader anti-corruption measures, tax fairness, and enhanced social safety nets remain high as the government balances strict IMF revenue targets against domestic pressures to alleviate the elevated cost of living. (Colombo/October 08/2026)

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Sri Lanka stocks close down 1.38-pct; LMF crossing pushes turnover

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Colombo Stock Exchange closed lower on Thursday, CSE data showed, with the benchmark All Share Price Index falling 1.38 percent.

The ASPI was down 283.21 points at 20,234.34, while the more liquid S&P SL20 was down 0.82 percent, or 47.82 points, at 5,768.58.

Positive contributors to the ASPI were HNB Life (up 3.04 percent at 144.25 rupees), Renuka Holdings (up 2.16 percent at 37.90 rupees), Odel (up 2.06 percent at 9.90 rupees), and Hayleys (up 0.22 percent at 223.00 rupees).

Carson Cumberbatch (down 3.39 percent at 676.25 rupees), Distilleries Company of Sri Lanka (down 2.85 percent at 51.10 rupees), Hemas Holdings (down 2.56 percent at 30.50 rupees), Dialog Axiata (down 1.34 percent at 44.10 rupees), and Hatton National Bank (down 0.99 percent at 375.50 rupees) were top negative contributors.

Market turnover was 2.74 billion rupees.

High turnover was largely driven by crossing transactions, with Lanka Milk Foods recording crossings of about 1 billion rupees and Sunshine Holdings seeing a crossing of around 300 million rupees. (Colombo/Oct08/2026)

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Sri Lanka’s SEC urges public not to deposit, invest in Quantum AI Limited  

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has warned the public in dealing with a company called Quantum AI Limited for trading and investment and urged them not to deposit any funds.

The regulator, on its X platform, stated it “wishes to inform the public that Quantum AI Limited is not licensed, registered, or authorized by the SEC to conduct securities trading, investment services, or any other regulated capital market activities in Sri Lanka.”

“The public is strongly advised not to deposit funds, invest, or engage in any trading or investment activities through Quantum AI Limited.”

“Before investing, always verify that the entity is duly licensed or registered by the SEC. Protect your investments. Deal only with SEC authorized market intermediaries.” 

Officials from Quantum AI Limited were not immediately available for comment on the SEC’s statement. 

Sri Lanka has increasingly seen illegal firms taking deposits and investments while promising higher returns.

Last week, the Central Bank warned the public against investing in plantation companies that are not regulated by it. (Colombo/October 08/2026) 

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