ECONOMYNEXT – China has given Sri Lanka a positive response over the request for debt re-structuring State Minister Shehan Semasinghe said, as the country seeks assurances that debt will be re-structured in line with a program with the International Monetary Fund.
The Exim Bank of China has indicated that they are willing to support Sri Lanka’s debt re-structuring efforts.
“We are getting positive news,” State Minister for Finance Shehan Semasinghe said. “It is good to see our partners helping.”
The letter has been referred to the IMF to check whether the parameters are sufficient for Sri Lanka’s program, he said.
Hard Assurance
A bilateral partner has to give clear wording that they are willing to re-structure debt in line with the financing envelope in the IMF program.
India’s letter was in line with IMF requirements.
The IMF will not accept a ‘soft assurance’ to approve it program, a source familiar with the IMF backed debt re-structuring process said.
The practice is also to send an assurance direct to the IMF.
“So there is a little more negotiations to be done,” the source said.
At the first stage, bilateral creditors do not need to give exact details on how the debt is to be restructured, which will be negotiated after the IMF’s Executive Board gives its approval for Sri Lanka’s program.
The Paris Club of Western lenders and Japan is also waiting for China to give its debt assurances to Sri Lanka another source who has knowledge of its operations said.
Paris Club lenders have long experience in dealing with IMF programs but will not move in the case of Sri Lanka without a firm assurance from China, the source said.
Sri Lanka defaulted in April 2022, after printing money to mis-targeting interest rates for to close what was called ‘a persistent output gap’ after the country ran into two currency crises in the course of ‘flexible inflation targeting’.
As Sri Lanka printed money to generate around 5 percent inflation a year under ‘flexible inflation targeting (inflation targeting requires a clean floating regime) the country experienced severe forex shortages and borrowed heavily from sovereign bond holders.
China also helped with monetary instability loans, without first asking for policy to be tightened (rates to be hiked to stop printing money).
By December 2022, Sri Lanka has reached external monetary stability, taxes have been raised to reduce budget deficits, which should reduce pressure on domestic markets, but rates are still high on fears of a domestic debt restructuring. (Colombo/Jan22/2022)