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Tuesday February 7th, 2023

Sri Lanka markets skeptical over state finmin’s domestic debt restructure comments

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s stocks, rupee, and bond markets hardly moved according to a statement by State Minister Shehan Semasinghe who said the government has not decided yet on restructuring local debts.

The markets have been expecting the worst with regard to local loans in Sri Lanka’s debt restructuring process including haircut, both on the return, and deferment of maturity. Financial analysts have warned of a banking sector collapse in the country.

Some analysts say people might protest in street if their pension funds are slashed under the local debt restructuring.

“Government has not made any decision to restructure domestic debt as negotiations of treatments on external debt are still being discussed with external bilateral and commercial creditors,” State Minister Semasinghe tweeted on Thursday (17).

“GOSL (Government of Sri Lanka) has no intention to impose any treatment on domestic debt which will have adverse impact on domestic banking sector, insurance sector and superannuation funds. There is no basis for recent speculation announced on restructuring domestic debt.”

Analysts say local banks are concerned over possible local debt restructuring as many of them have invested most of their deposits in government securities.

The speculation has already resulted in primary dealers demanding over 33 percent return to lend via government securities due to speculation of debt restructuring, market dealers say.

“That has also forced the central bank to print more money to fund the government at lower interest rates,” a currency dealer told EconomyNext.

“At one point, the government said all creditors will be treated equally without saying whether they were referring only to foreign creditors. Now this minister says domestic creditors will be treated differently. The market does not have confidence in any of these statements.”

After the minister’s statement, the stock market index fell though turnover improved, stockbrokers said. However, both rupee and bond markets shrugged off the statement because they believe a local debt restructuring is inevitable, dealers said.

“Market is speculating on a haircut. How can only this minister say something like this? Why didn’t President Ranil Wickremesinghe say this in the budget last week and why both the central bank governor and finance ministry secretary are silent on this?,” a currency dealer said, asking not to be named.

“When there is uncertainty, the negative sentiment will prevail”

Local analysts said the market needs time to adjust if there is a decision to go for a local debt restructuring.

“Ambiguity of the debt restructuring proposals weighs on the market and the economy,” said Danushka Samarasinghe, Chief Executive Officer/Director at Nation Lanka Equities (Pvt) Ltd. (Colombo/Nov17/2022)

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  1. sacre blieu says:

    Tax the struggling masses to enrich the few privileged capitalists and ensure security is pampered with everything denied to the working masses. Violate every principle and practice, and ensure unending power at any cost.

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  1. sacre blieu says:

    Tax the struggling masses to enrich the few privileged capitalists and ensure security is pampered with everything denied to the working masses. Violate every principle and practice, and ensure unending power at any cost.

Sri Lanka Railways to seek PPPs to boost revenue streams

CURFEW RUSH: Commuters scrambling to get home after curfew was declared in Sri Lanka on March 20, 2020.

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka Railway department hopes to expand Public Private Partnerships and earn more non-passenger revenues to offset recurring operational costs, an official said.

“For the past 10 years, except the last few years, the Railway operational income only covers around 50 percent of the operational expense of the Department,” the General Manager of the Railway, D.S. Gunasinghe told EconomyNext.

“Our plan is to increase the non-passenger revenue of the Railway department.

“And we cannot expect and do not hope for money from the government.”

Sri Lanka Railways already has agreements with Prima, a food firm, and Insee Cement, which is bringing in additional income, Gunasinghe said.

“We had agreements for material transportation such as sand in the past, however it was canceled but we hope to start it again” he said.

The department will rent out its storage facilities and circuit bungalows for the tourism sector to create additional revenue streams.

Sri Lanka Railways recorded an operating loss of 10.3 billion rupees during 2021, compared to a loss of 10.1 billion rupees in 2020, the Central Bank 2021 annual report showed.

The total revenue of the SLR stood at 2.7 billion rupees, a 41.3 percent drop from a year ago.

(Colombo/ Feb 06/2023)

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Sri Lanka’s doctors distribute anti-tax hike leaflets to train commuters

ECONOMYNEXT – Doctors representing Sri Lanka’s Government Medical Officers Association (GMOA) distributed leaflets outside the Colombo Fort railway station against a progressive tax hike, threatening to address the government in a “language it speaks”.

GMOA Secretary Haritha Aluthge told reporters outside the busy Fort railway station Monday February 06 afternoon that all professional associations have collectively agreed to oppose the personal income tax hike.

“The government is taking a lethargic approach. They cannot keep doing this. They have a responsibility towards the citizens, the country and society,” said Aluthge.

The medical officer claimed that the government was acting arbitrarily (අත්තනෝමතික).

“If it cannot understand the language they’ve been speaking, if the government’s plan is to put all professionals out on the street, if it doesn’t present a solution, all professional unions have decided unanimously to address the government in a language it speaks, ,” he said.

Aluthge and other GMOA members were seen distributing leaflets to commuters leaving the railway station. Doctors in Sri Lanka in general are likely to earn higher salaries than the average train commuter, and a vast majority of Sri Lanka’s population, most of whom take public transport, don’t fall into the government’s new tax bracket. Many doctors, though certainly not all, collect substantial sums of money at the end of every month as doctor’s fees in private consultations.

About two miles away from the doctors, the Ceylon Blank Employees’ Union, too, engaged in a similar distribution leaflet campaign on Monday at the Maradana railway station. A spokesman promised “tough trade union” action if there was no solution offered by next week.

Sri Lanka’s cash-strapped government has imposed a Pay As You Earn (PAYE) tax on all Sri Lankans who earn an income above 100,000 rupees monthly, with the tax rate progressively increasing for higher earners, from 6 percent to 36 percent.

A person who paid a tax of 9,000 rupees on a 400,000 rupee monthly income will now have to pay 70,500 rupees as income tax, the latest data showed. This has triggered a growing wave of anti-government protests mostly organised by public sector trade unions and professional associations.

Even employees of Sri Lanka’s Central Bank recently joined a week-long “black protest” campaign organised by state sector unions against the sharp hike in personal income tax, even as Central Bank Governor Nandalal Weerasinghe said painful measures were needed for the country to recover from its worst currency crisis in decades.

The government, however, defends the tax hike arguing that it is starved for cash as Sri Lanka, still far from a complete recovery, is struggling to make even the most basic payments, to say nothing of the billions needed for public sector salaries.

Economists say Sri Lanka’s bloated public service is a burden for taxpayers in the best of times, and under the present circumstances, it is getting harder and harder to pay salaries and benefits.

Sri Lanka’s new tax regime has both its defenders and detractors. Critics who are opposed to progressive taxation say it serves as a disincentive to industry and capital which can otherwise be invested in growth and employment-generating business ventures. Instead, they call for a flat rate of taxation where everyone is taxed at the same rate, irrespective of income.

Others, however, contend that the new taxes only affect some 10-12 percent of the population and, given the country’s economic situation, is necessary, if not vital, at least for a year or two.

Critics of the protesting workers argue that most of the workers earn high salaries that most ordinary people can only dream of, and, they argue, though there may be some cases where breadwinners could be taxed more equitably, overall, Sri Lanka’s tax rates remain low and are not unfair.  (Colombo/Feb06/2023)

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Sri Lanka bond Yields end steady

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s bond yields closed steady on Monday, dealers said while a guidance peg for interbank transactions remained unchanged.

A bond maturing on 01.07.2025 closed at 32.15/30 percent, steady from Friday’s 32.05/10 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.05.2027 closed at 28.90/29.10, steady from Friday’s 28.90/20.05 percent.

The Central Bank’s guidance peg for interbank US dollar transactions appreciated by one cent to 361.96 rupees against the US dollar.

Commercial banks offered dollars for telegraphic transfers at 370.35 rupees on Monday, data showed. (Colombo/Feb 06/2023)

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