ECONOMYNEXT – A deep depression over the Bay of Bengal which is around 170 kilometers East of Baticaloa is likely to move towards Trincomalee, the Department of Meteorology said its latest land area forecast, revising an earlier possibility of its intensifying in to a cyclone.
“The deep depression in the Bay of Bengal to the southeast of Sri Lanka (At 06:00 a.m. on Jan
9th, 2026 located about 170 km East of Batticaloa) is very likely to move northwestwards
towards the coast of Sri Lanka between Pottuvil and Trincomalee in the evening today, the 9th
January 2026,” the Met Dept said in its latest forcast.
“Hence, showery, and windy condition over the island, particularly in the Northern, NorthCentral, Eastern, Uva and Central provinces is expected to enhance.”
An advisory issued by the Regional Specialized Meterological Centre at 230 am said there was uncertainty in forecasting but the the Deep Depression could degenerate into a depression after hitting land.
“There is good consensus among various models with respect to northwestwards movement of the system across southwest Bay of Bengal during next 2 days,” the report said.
“Most of the models are underestimating the current intensity of the system. Based on 00 UTC, ECMWF model is indicating slightly increase in northward movement and change in landfall point, slightly towards north between Batticaloa and Hambantota during 12–15 UTC of 09th January as a depression.
“There is large uncertainty in various runs of ECMWF models also. Models like GFS group and NCUM are not capturing the intensity of the system correctly.
“Current forecast is based on the consensus derived from persistence and ECMWF model guidance.”
Sri Lanka met office is advising coastal hutment dwellers to move inwards.
Action suggested for the Land area:
• Coastal hutment dwellers are advised to move to safer places. Other people in the affected
areas to remain indoors.
• People living in hilly areas (particularly landslide prone areas) and low-lying areas in river
basins are requested to be vigilant.
• Drivers and people using roads in the hilly areas are requested to be vigilant.
• Beware of fallen trees and power lines.
• Avoid using wired telephones and connected electric appliances during thunderstorms.
• General public is requested to be vigilant regarding impending extreme weather situation.
• For emergency assistance contact the local disaster management authorities.
• Requested to be attentive about future advisories issued by the Department of
Meteorology in this regard.
Action suggested for the Sea area:
• Naval and fishing communities are warned not to venture to the deep and shallow sea areas
around the island until further notice.
• Naval and fishing communities are advised not to venture into the sea areas bounded by
(03N – 13N) and between (76E – 86E) until further notice.
• Those who are out at aforementioned sea areas are advised to return to coasts or moved
safer areas immediately.
Naval and fishing communities are warned not to venture to the deep and shallow sea areas
around the island until further notice.