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Friday June 2nd, 2023

Sri Lanka passport ranked among bottom 10-pct of the world

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s passport has been ranked 97 among 200 countries and territories in a global index of travel freedoms, dropping from 96 at the end of last year, but maintained its position among the bottom 10 percent of travel documents.

The Henley Passport Index, which ranks countries using on-arrival or visa free access to their citizens had placed Japan as the best passport, giving travel freedoms to 191 countries, while Singapore is second with 190.

South Korea shares third place with Germany with 189 countries accessible visa free.

South Korea had become a strongly liberal nation, with economic, political and religious freedoms for their citizens coupled with central bank reforms from the mid 1980s that freed citizens from chronic depreciation and helped drive it to OECD status.

“Asian countries’ dominance of the top spots is a clear argument for the benefits of open-door policies and the introduction of mutually beneficial trade agreements,” Christian H. Kaelin, Chairman of Henley & Partners, which compiles the index said in a statement.

“Over the past few years, we have seen the world adapt to mobility as a permanent condition of global life.

“The latest rankings show that the countries that embrace this reality are thriving, with their citizens enjoying ever-increasing passport power and the array of benefits that come with it.

“As ongoing research shows, these benefits are extensive.”

Uğur Altundal and Ömer Zarpli, of Syracuse University and the University of Pittsburgh, in a research with Henley data, had found a strongly positive correlation between travel freedom and other kinds of liberties – from the economic to the political, and even individual or human freedoms.

Citizens of Maldives which had a strong currency and higher incomes and freer trade had free access to 85 countries.

Afghanistan was at the bottom with access to 26 countries.

Sri Lanka was at 97 position in travel freedom was in the bottom 10 percent of countries. Sri Lanka held 11th position from the bottom. Only 17 countries were below Sri Lanka.

Sri Lanka has been following increasingly restrictive policies in recent years, with restrictive trade, expropriation which undermined investment, along with a rise in nationalism.

The US and the UK had continued to fall on the index’s rankings, with rising nationalism at home.

“While both countries remain in the top 10, their shared 8th-place position is a significant decline from the number one spot they jointly held in 2015,” the compilers said.

Brexit nationalism had also increased the uncertainty for UK citizen’s access to Europe.

Other Asia-Pacific countries like India (84) and Vietnam (88) were ranked ahead of Sri Lanka.

Ethiopia and South Sudan are ranked a spot above Sri Lanka at 96 scoring 43 whereas Iran, Bangladesh, Eritrea and the Democratic Republic of Congo ranked a spot below with a score of 41 according to the index.

Malaysia, Brunei (currency board), Hong Kong (Currency board), Taiwan and Macau (currency board/currency competition) passports were among the top 30 percent in the world.

Hong Kong passport holders had free access to 169 countries compared to 71 for China. Hong Kong had growth with in-migration for many years.

“Asia accounts for approximately one third of migrants throughout the world,” Nicole Smolinske, Independent Specialis, Consultant on the Asia-Pacific Region said in the report.

“Asia’s working-age population is among the largest in the world and, as such, has high levels of mobility, with these individuals able to migrate in search of better economic futures.”

“It is expected that migration policy in the broader region will continue to evolve and adapt as the workforce seeks gainful employment opportunities, and countries implement policies to facilitate economic collaboration and attract talent, “she said.

The biggest climber of the decade was United Arab Emirates (currency board-like system), overtaking 47 spots and reaching 18 in rank meanwhile Nigeria fell 19 spots to 95, becoming the biggest faller since 2010. (Colombo/Jan09/2020)

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Sri Lanka President explains economic policy, future plans

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka President Ranil Wickremesinghe made a statement explaining the current status of the economy, reason for policy actions and his plans for the future to make the country a developed nation by 2048.

President Wickremesinghe, said previous attempts to reform the country was blocked by activist on the slogan of ‘selling the country’.

The full statement is reproduced below:

Since the day I took charge of our nation’s economy, I wanted to ensure you that Sri Lanka’s actual economic situation was made clear and transparent. Over the recent months, I have provided regular updates on Sri Lanka’s economic state, outlined strategies to overcome our challenges, and emphasized the role each of us must play for the betterment of our nation.

We have endured numerous hardships due to a struggling economy, but we are slowly making progress towards achieving stability. Our weakened and crippled economy from the crisis is gradually regaining its footing.

This achievement is a result of the correct policies and practices my government has implemented. It is also a testament to our collective effort as a nation in rising above the many challenges and hardships that came our way.

I would like to express my heartfelt gratitude to all Sri Lankans for persevering through these hardships for the sake of our motherland. If we continue on this path for just a little longer, I am confident we will be able to establish a stable economy free from the difficulties we endured together as a nation.

Sri Lanka is now ready to embark upon a journey of collective growth and prosperity.

In what manner should we proceed on this journey? Which practices should we adopt to ensure our progress?

Today, it is my honour to share with you a roadmap detailing the steps we intend to pursue to forge a brighter and prosperous future for all Sri Lankans.

Throughout my tenure as President, I have consistently emphasized the need for comprehensive economic and social reforms in Sri Lanka. In the 2023 Budget, I highlighted several reforms that aim to restructure and modernize the nation. It is crucial that we remain committed to these reforms to build a better future for Sri Lanka.

I want to remind you that some decisions we make may not always be popular. However, it is only by pursuing policies that are right and difficult can we uplift our country once again. I can assure you that if we remain committed to reform, we can create a nation where future generations can live freely and happily.

Unfortunately, some groups involved in traditional politics are actively working to hinder our economic revival. They are spreading false information about our reform agenda and intentionally misleading the public with claims that we are selling off the country.

Throughout history, these groups have continuously resorted to fear-mongering tactics, falsely asserting that our actions are driven by a desire to sell out our nation. They have deceived many Sri Lankans in the 1950s, 1960s, 1970s, and even the 1980s, instilling an irrational fear of the country being sold away. From then until now, these groups have disrupted real progress for economic reform by perpetuating this slogan of “selling the country”.

I am confident that you will no longer be deceived by such slogans. It is imperative for all of us to work diligently and to totally devote ourselves to the upliftment of our country. Our objective is to transform into a fully developed nation on the global stage by 2048. If we fail to align our economy with the modern world and the latest trends in technology, we will regress. The consequence of failure is the country becoming an economic colony. Let us forge ahead and shape our economy in a way that enables us to compete on the global stage. Let us carry out the necessary economic reforms for the greater good of our nation.

Through these economic reforms, our aim is to rectify misguided policies, programs, and projects. Rebuilding a bankrupt nation cannot be achieved by using traditional methods. We must adopt a fresh approach and embark on a new journey of transformation.

What are the outcomes of these economic reforms?

The cost of living for all Sri Lankans will decrease, and our standards of living will rise. Is that a mistake? Is it tantamount to selling our country? These reforms generate new opportunities for businesses to grow and thrive, ranging from small-scale enterprises to large-scale ventures. Is that a mistake? Is it a country being sold?

We are working to provide necessary relief and essential facilities to the poor and the most vulnerable segments of our society. Is that a mistake? Is it a betrayal of our country?

The burden of covering losses incurred by state owned enterprises will no longer placed on the people. Is that a mistake? Does it suggest a country’s sale?

A culture of accountability and transparency is being fostered. Is that a mistake? Does that mean the country is being sold? We are working to make Sri Lanka one of the world’s fastest-growing nations. Is that a mistake? Does that imply that the country is for sale?

The implementation of our economic reforms serves only to achieve sustainable development and prosperity for our country. Through these reforms, we will accelerate Sri Lanka’s modernization, expand our market, and encourage greater contributions from the international community toward our development.

We acknowledge that this journey is not an easy one, and we anticipate numerous challenges along the way. However, we are determined to overcome these obstacles. Our government is committed to always acting in the best interest of our country.

We will not allow anyone to drag our motherland back to where we were a year ago. Today, some individuals seem to have forgotten the hardships endured by Sri Lankans during that time. Our economy contracted by 8.7%, our foreign exchange reserves hit rock bottom, and we experienced one of the highest inflation rates in the world. Foreign loans went unpaid, pushing the country into bankruptcy. Food scarcity became a pressing issue, with people waiting in queues for days to obtain oil and gas. Agriculture suffered due to a lack of fertilizer, resulting in crop losses and helpless farmers. Businesses collapsed, leading to job losses and income sources drying up. Hospitals faced shortages of medication, schools had to close, and power cuts lasting 10-12 hours became commonplace. The country was in disarray, with people struggling to survive.

Unable to bear these hardships any longer, the people became restless and began to struggle. In the face of these tremendous challenges, I assumed the responsibility of managing the country’s economy as the Prime Minister. In such a difficult backdrop, I possessed only one source of strength: my unwavering belief and determination to safely guide our motherland across this arduous journey.

When we first took steps to stabilize the country, we implemented stringent financial controls. We recognized that our only way out of this crisis was to seek support from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Thus, we initiated negotiations with them, which involved multiple rounds of lengthy discussions. Eventually, the IMF agreed to provide us with an Extended Credit Facility. Additionally, we embarked on programs to secure loan assistance from other financial institutions such as the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank.

During this challenging period, our neighbour India played a significant role in supporting us. Bangladesh and Japan also offered their support. Several countries, including China, India, Japan, and members of the Paris Club, agreed to restructure our debt, of which we are immensely grateful for on behalf of the Sri Lankan people. These collective efforts and collaborations are part of our commitment to achieving sustainable development and success for our country.

In our efforts to stabilize the country, we implemented strict financial controls, leading to significant cost savings. Additionally, our foreign workers have made valuable contributions to our nation-building endeavours. In the first quarter of this year, the remittances sent by foreign workers increased by 80.6% compared to 2022. Furthermore, our new tax policies have resulted in an additional income of Rs. 210 billion in the first quarter of 2023. These achievements highlight the positive impact of our measures on our economy.

Today, we are reaping the rewards of our hard work and dedication. Inflation, which had skyrocketed to 70 percent, has now decreased to 25.2 percent, lightening the burden of daily life for all of us. The entire population of Sri Lanka is experiencing a sense of relief given the improvements we made to the economy.

Now, let me explain our vision for the future and how we plan to move forward. We have built our roadmap on four key pillars that will shape our path ahead.

The 1st Pillar – Fiscal and Financial Reforms

We have successfully reached an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) regarding fiscal and financial reforms, which received approval from Parliament. We have initiated reforms in tax policies, revenue administration, and public financial management, and we will continue to pursue the successful delivery of these efforts. Our aim is to implement necessary reforms that will ensure long-term sustainability of public debt and the stability of our economy. Ultimately, we want to rebuild confidence in the Sri Lankan market.

In our pursuit of economic stability, we have implemented various cost reduction and containment measures since May 2022. We are taking further steps to minimize unnecessary expenses, emphasizing to government officials the need for prudent spending. Our approach includes:

1. Halting unnecessary expenditure,
2. Streamlining government activities to reduce costs,
3. Designing cost-effective government operations, and
4. Leveraging automation and digitalization to reduce costs while delivering quality services.

The 2nd Pillar – Investment Drive

Promoting investments play a crucial role in boosting a country’s economy. We also recognize the significance of collaboration between the public and private sectors in our journey towards economic growth. Our goal is to transform Sri Lanka into an export-oriented economy that is globally recognized, following the successful models of countries like South Korea and Singapore.

Furthermore, we aim to prioritize modern and sustainable efforts such as renewable energy, green hydrogen, and digitization. We can draw inspiration from the Andhra region of India, which has excelled in developing these areas. Such modern and sustainable initiatives are vital for the complete transformation of Sri Lanka’s economy.

Over the next few months, we will make a special invitation to the private sector to submit their own business proposals that align with our vision of modernization and sustainability. We will ensure transparency and openness by publicizing this call for proposals through mass media in a formal manner. We believe that a collaborative partnership between the public and private sectors will drive the engine to accelerate Sri Lanka’s economic growth and revival.

The selection of proposals is based on four key criteria:

1. Size of private investment,
2. Job creation,
3. Export contribution, and
4. Economic contribution.

To ensure the effective implementation of these business proposals, we will introduce a new system called the Lab methodology.

Under the Lab approach, we will bring together Government Ministers, government officials, subject matter experts, and key representatives from the private sector to collaboratively engage in detailed discussions over a period of six weeks. The aim is to collaboratively resolve any roadblocks hindering the roll-out of investments and projects by listening carefully to the private sector. During these discussions, comprehensive implementation plans will be developed, and the necessary facilities to support the implementation of these projects will be organized. Government stakeholders involved in the Labs will dedicate their full-time efforts to ensure the successful execution of these projects.

As President, I, along with the Cabinet Ministers, will actively participate in this event to demonstrate the government’s commitment to ensuring success of the Lab process.

Through the Labs, we aim to achieve three main objectives. They are to:

1. Accelerate the economic recovery through approved business proposals and projects
2. Create new employment opportunities, and to
3. Streamline the government machinery to facilitate the implementation of future projects by removing obstacles through transparent procedures.

In order to foster a conducive environment for investment, we also need to reform Sri Lanka’s trade practices, which have been structured under strict protectionist policies. It is time to remove these barriers that have discouraged investors and to promote a more open and welcoming approach.

3rd Pillar – Social Protection and Governance

We will also apply the Lab methodology to address social safety net concerns. We will engage various government ministries, departments, agencies, civil society representatives, and subject matter experts in the integration process of social security measures.

Over the years, the people of Sri Lanka have expressed three main demands: combating corruption, protecting the poor and vulnerable sections of society, and ensuring transparency in government actions and practices. We are actively working to meet these demands.

Through the Lab methodology, we will assess the adequacy of social security measures for the most vulnerable and disadvantaged sections of society. Our goal is to provide them with the necessary support and relief they require.

A special task force is being established to combat corruption across all sectors, including regulation, procurement, and political corruption. We are committed to implementing anti-corruption practices through a government mechanism that emphasizes accountability via modern techniques such as digitization.

4th Pillar – State Owned Enterprises Transformation

There are currently 430 public enterprises operating in 33 sectors of the economy. These enterprises employ 6% of the Sri Lankan population. However, many of these enterprises have garnered monopolistic positions in the market, hindering private investment. Price fixing, inefficient management, and poor entrepreneurship have weakened public finances, turning these institutions into national burdens that are dependent on the taxpayer.

Notably, entities like the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation, Ceylon Electricity Board, and Sri Lankan Air Lines have incurred significant operating losses, equivalent to 1.6% of the country’s GDP in 2021. It is unjust to burden the 22 million people of Sri Lanka with this debt. We must urgently undertake necessary reforms in our SOEs to ensure the turnaround and success of these enterprises.

We have already initiated the preparation of a restructuring plan for public enterprises. Additionally, we expect the chief officers of these enterprises to be committed to improving their performances. If they fail to meet the annual targets assigned to them, we will not hesitate to replace them with more suitable candidates.

Public Engagement

Public participation is crucial to our Labs. All outcomes from the lab discussion, including plans, analyses, and conclusions during the six-weeks will be shared with the public in a physical forum called the “Open Day”. This platform will allow the public to express their feedback to the lab outcomes and the nation’s reform efforts, of which their contributions will serve to further refine the implementation process.

I am actively taking steps to regularly present information about our reform and reorganization programs to the public. I believe that the President should make it an annual ritual to engage with the people and provide updates on our nation’s progress.

We recognize the importance of incorporating the views of all segments of society in implementing our roadmap towards growth and prosperity. After hearing from the public during the “Open Day”, we will transparently share the progress of the Labs along with the activities of the special task forces related to the economy through digital media. This will allow the public to observe the implementation of the plans in practice, and also be able to identify and resolve obstacles along the journey.

In the last quarter of this year, we will then work to unveil the national transformation plan to the public.

Following extensive efforts, we anticipate revealing the National Reorganization Plan during the final quarter of this year. This plan aims to offer the public the chance to witness the advancement of plan implementation and practices via digital media. Furthermore, it encompasses a systematic approach to shed light on challenges and barriers encountered during implementation. Consequently, it becomes feasible to swiftly identify and resolve obstacles and issues.
To coordinate the implementation of these plans, we are establishing a Presidential Delivery Bureau (PDB) comprising of high-ranking officials from both the public and private sectors. They will collaborate with the line ministries to ensure effective coordination throughout the implementation phase.

Building the future

These reforms are designed to benefit the entire population and foster the development of the entire country. We aim to enhance the living conditions of all Sri Lankans, including you. Our program is not exclusive to any particular segment but targets the entire nation. By doing so, we can enhance Sri Lanka’s international competitiveness in exports and create new opportunities for labour participation amongst the youth, leading to a fully stabilized economy within the next five years.

Ultimately, our vision is to become a fully developed country by 2048, with the responsibility for continued progress passed on to the next generation. We are preparing our youth for this role, and I have full confidence that they will lead our motherland towards this objective.

This work methodology is a collective effort to build the future for all of us and to ensure a better tomorrow for future generations to come.

Therefore, I invite all Sri Lankans to join me in this journey to create our new and shared future our beautiful country.

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Sri Lanka bonds yields ends low, rupee at 292.50/295.50 against the US dollar

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s bonds ended low on Thursday dealers said, after the central bank cut is main policy rate by 250 basis points.

The Spot US dollar closed at 292.50/295.50 rupees after opening at 290/291 to the US dollar, dealers said.

The rupee closed at 290.25/75 to the US dollar Wednesday.

A bond maturing on 15.09.2027 closed at 24.50/90 percent down from 26.60/26.90 percent a day earlier dealers said.

A bond maturing on 15.05.2026 closed at 25.00/26.00 percent down 27.75/28.50 percent a day earlier.

A bond maturing on 01.05.2025 closed at 26.30/27.00 percent, down from 28.30/29.30 per cent at last close.

A bond maturing on 01.07.2032 closed at 20.00/25 percent, down from 21.30/22.30 percent at last close.

The central bank cut is policy rate at which overnight money is injected to 14.0 percent to from 16.5 percent Thursday. There is a gap between the injection rate and market rates.

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Sri Lanka cuts policy rates 250 basis points amid BOP surplus

Sri Lanka exports down in April, trade deficit up from March, rupee stronger

Sri Lanka has not issued bonds recently and has mostly sold Treasury bills, ahead of a debt restructuring strategy being announced. (Colombo/ June 01/2023)

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Sri Lanka’s shares edge up on positive sentiments from Monetary Policy

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s shares closed higher in trade on Thursday, over as Sri Lanka cuts policy rates 250 basis points lowering the rate at which liquidity is injected to markets to 14.0 percent to from 16.50 percent, saying inflation was falling faster than expected, an analyst said.

“The overall sentiment is positive, because it was a higher than expected rate cut,” an analyst said.

The main All Share Price Index was up 1.59 percent or 136.44 points to 8,668.40, this is the most points the index has gained since 7 March, while the most liquid index S&P SL20 was up 2.02 percent or 48.93 points to 2,470.42.

The market generated a turnover of, this is the first time the market has generated a revenue over 1 billion rupees since 25 April, while the daily average turnover was 1 billion rupees.

Sri Lanka’s inflation in the 12-months to May 2023 has eased to 25.2 percent from 35.3 percent a month earlier according to a revised Colombo Consumer Price Index calculated by the state statistics office.

Prior to the Monetary Policy investors were quite optimistic that inflation is to lower and interest rates will decrease and since exp, an analyst said.

Top gainers during Sampath Bank, Lanka IOC and Vallibel One. (Colombo/June01/2023)

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