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Tuesday June 18th, 2024

Sri Lanka prints Rs103.5bn below 3-month Treasuries yield to reverse SRR

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s central bank has printed 103.5 billion rupees for 87 days at rates as low as 6.08 percent days after a ceiling rate on auctions at which money was printed to boost outflows above inflows taking the country closer to sovereign default, was take away.

On Wednesday after the ceiling yield was taken away, the three month Treasuries yield rose to 6.38 percent, up from the previous week of 6.08 percent when there was a ceiling rate as a de facto policy which allowed money to be printed to suppress interest rate below domestic credit trends.

However the on Friday the 103.5 billion rupees was printed between 6.08 percent and 6.39 in giving a weighted average yield of 6.13 percent for 87 days (3-months) in a bizarre development.

The 87 day money effectively reversed most a statutory reserve hike on September 01, through which banks had to place extra share of deposits in the central bank triggering a large liquidity short.

It is not clear why the SRR was raised before the dysfuntional bond and bill auctions were made functional again.

The large SRR hike, which took money away from banks which were already short, worsened asset liability mismatches, discouraging bank investments in longer term fixed rate bills and bonds.

“SRRs as a monetary tool have been abandoned by most successful central banks,” EN’s economics columnist Bellwether says.

“They were useful especially in the UK up to the middle of the 19th century due usury laws which effectively put a ceiling on the Bank of England at 5 percent.

“It was also a tool that could increase the profits of the Bank of England at the expense of London area commercial banks which did not issue their own notes. Now for example banks have to borrow at 6.13 from the CB to fill the SRR.

“So it is not a wrong idea to reverse the SRR for the moment.

“However undermining the gilt yield curve with yet more unrealistic rates through term domestic operations as it was done in 2015, 2016 up to March and 2018, is going to force an eventual float of the currency.”

The central bank jettisoned ‘bills only policy’ for liquidity injections established by ex-Governor A S Jayewardene exposing the country to severe monetary risk.

The agency bought bond outright to inject medium term money and monetize past deficits to trigger currency crises in 2018 in particular when the budget deficit was brought down, and also halted a reserve build-up after July 2019, analysts have said.

At the beginning of 2020, despite the tax cuts of December 2019, when external sector was still holding steady, and currency pressure had not yet been triggered with rates cuts and liquidity injections, the three month Treasury bills rate was around 7.50 percent and was moving up, compared to 6.38 percent now.

At the auction on February 20, 2020, shortly before the first of the ‘helicopter drops’ of newly minted money was dumped on the banking system the three month bill yield rose to 7.44 from 7.36 percent.

The 6-months yield rose to 8.06 percent from 8.04 percent and the 12-months rose to 8.60 percent in that week. Rate cutting started from the following month.


Sri Lanka excess liquidity spike in Feb from central bank profit transfer

Sri Lanka forex reserves rise to US$7.9bn in Jan 2020 before rate cut, profit transfer

Sri Lanka makes helicopter drops of new money despite soft-peg

Sri Lanka helicopter drops Rs60bn, CB bills stock tops Rs900bn

Active open market operations to suppress and manipulate interest rates were initiated by the Federal Reserve in the 1920s, and fine-tuned under then-New York Fed Governor Normal Strong, which eventually led to the roaring 20s bubble and Great Depression.

The 103.5 billion rupees injected other than the problem with the rate, does not change the total liquidity injected by the central bank, and replaces overnight window money at 6.0 percent with term money at 6.13 percent. (Colombo/Sept25/2021)

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Sri Lanka’s Ceylon Chamber links up with Gujarat Chamber

ECONOMYNEXT – The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce has signed an agreement with the Southern Gujarat Chamber of Commerce and Industry (SGCCI) to increase trade cooperation between India and Sri Lanka.

The MOU was signed by CCC CEO Buwanekabahu Perera, SGCCI President Ramesh Vaghasia, in the presence of Dr Valsan Vethody, Consul General for Sri Lanka in Mumbai, India.

“With the signing of the MoU, … the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce and SGCCI aim to facilitate trade between the two countries via initiatives such as trade fairs and delegations, business networking events, training programmes,” the Ceylon Chamber said in a statement.

“This partnership will open doors for Sri Lankan businesses to explore opportunities in Surat’s dynamic market and enable the sharing of expertise and resources between the two regions.”

Established in 1940, SGCCI engages with over 12,000 members and indirect ties with more than 2,00,000 members via 150 associations. It promotes trade, commerce, and industry in South Gujarat.

The region’s commercial and economic centre Surat has risen to prominence as the global epicenter for diamond cutting and as India’s textile hub, and is ranked the world’s 4th fastest growing city with a GDP growth rate of 11.5%

Surat’s economic landscape is vibrant and diverse. As India’s 8th largest and Gujarat’s 2nd largest city, it boasts the highest average annual household income in the country.

The nearby Hazira Industrial Area hosts major corporations like Reliance, ESSAR, SHELL, and L&T. (Colombo/Jun18/2024)

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Sri Lanka telecommunications bill some clauses ruled unconstitutional by SC: Speaker

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Supreme Court has found a number of clauses in a proposed amendment to the Telecom Telecommunications Amendment bill unconstitutional, speaker Mahinda Yapa Abeywardana said.

“Clause No 8, proposed section 9A 2 of the bill is inconsistent with Article 12 1 of the constitution, however this inconsistency shall cease if word ‘may’ will be replaced with word ‘shall’ as set out in the determination of the supreme court.”

“Clause No 9 is inconsistent with Article 12 1 of the constitution and only can be passed with special majority required under paragraph 2 of the Article 84. However, the inconsistency shall cease if clause is amended as set out in the determination of the supreme court.

Clause No 12, proposed section 17 10 of the bill is inconsistent with Article 12 1 of the constitution and can only be passed with special parliament majority required under Article 84 paragraph 2. However, the inconsistency shall cease if clause is amended as set out in the determination of the supreme court.”

Sections of clauses 13, 18, 20, 33 and 35 were also in violation of the constitution, and could only be passed by a special majority of parliament. (Colombo/Jun18/2024)

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Sri Lanka to exempt one house from imputed rent wealth tax: President

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka will exempt one house from a proposed wealth tax outlined in an International Monetary Fund program, President Ranil Wickremesinghe said.

About 90 percent of the people’s houses are likely to be exempt from the proposed tax, he said.

“[O]ne house will be exempt from this,” President Wickremesinghe told parliament Monday.

“It is going to have a very high threshold and I do not think the vast majority of the people in this country should even be worried about their house

“Don’t worry your house will be safe.”

The IMF program document however did not mention an exemption on one house, but did mention an exemption threshold.

Taxing houses and thrift in general could have detrimental effects on people’s well-being, housing stock and their willingness to remain in the country without migrating, critics say.

Related Sri Lanka to tax imaginary rents on houses under IMF deal

The mechanism of imputed rents was used because rates on houses were assigned to provincial councils and courts could strike it down.

Opposition legislator Harsha de Silva said the Samagi Jana Balwegaya welcomed President Wickremesinghe’s statement. (Colombo/June18/2024)

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