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Sunday October 4th, 2026

Sri Lanka sovereign rating at SD but ISBs downgraded to ‘D’ by S&P

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s sovereign rating remains at Selective Default (SD), but the country’s sovereign bonds were downgraded to ‘D’ after missed interest payments, Standard and Poor’s, a rating agency said.

“The Sri Lanka government remains in default on some foreign currency obligations, including international sovereign bonds (ISBs),” the S&P said.

“We do not expect the government to make the payments within 30 calendar days after their due dates.

“We lowered the ratings on the affected bonds to ‘D’, following missed interest payments due on June 3, June 28, and July 18, and a missed principal payment due July 25.”

Sri Lanka is still paying senior creditors with money coming from deferred payments from the Asian Clearing Union.

Sri Lanka started to borrow heavily in foreign bond markets from 2015 after battering its currency peg with extraordinary liquidity injections under ‘flexible inflation targeting and the country lost the ability to roll-over maturing rupee bonds at gross financing level.

From 2015 to 2019, the country had monetary stability only in 2017 and 2019 as the pegged exchange rate regime was shattered with liquidity injections to target an ‘output gap’.

However the targeting the output gap led to currency crises (balance of payment deficit) and growth fell as stabilization measures were slammed.

From 2020 to 2022 even more aggressive liquidity injections were made and taxes were also cut saying there was a ‘persistent output gap’ until all foreign reserves including borrowed reserves were lost and the the country defaulted in peacetime.

The International Monetary Fund gave technical assistance to Sri Lanka to calculate the output gap and also endorsed ‘flexible inflation targeting’, with overnight repo injections, term repo injections, outright purchase of bond, despite having a reserve collecting peg.

On April 12, 2022 Sri Lanka defaulted despite being at peace.

The full statement is reproduced below:

Sri Lanka Bonds Downgraded To ‘D’ After Missed Payments; Sovereign Ratings Affirmed

Overview

The Sri Lanka government remains in default on some foreign currency obligations, including international sovereign bonds (ISBs).

We do not expect the government to make the payments within 30 calendar days after their due dates.

We lowered the ratings on the affected bonds to ‘D’, following missed interest payments due on June 3, June 28, and July 18, and a missed principal payment due July 25.

We affirmed our ‘SD/SD’ foreign currency and ‘CCC-/C’ local currency ratings on Sri Lanka. The outlook on the long-term local currency rating is negative.

Rating Action

On Aug. 15, 2022, S&P Global Ratings affirmed its ‘SD’ long-term and ‘SD’ short-term foreign currency sovereign ratings on Sri Lanka. At the same time, we affirmed our ‘CCC-‘ long-term and ‘C’ short-term local currency sovereign ratings. The outlook on the long-term local currency rating remains negative.

In addition, we lowered to ‘D’ from ‘CC’ the issue ratings on the following bonds with missed coupon or principal payments:

US$650 million, 6.125% bonds due June 3, 2025.

US$1.0 billion, 6.825% bonds due July 18, 2026.

US$1.0 billion, 5.875% bonds due July 25, 2022.

US$500 million, 6.35% bonds due June 28, 2024.

Our transfer and convertibility assessment at ‘CC’ is unchanged.

Outlook

Our foreign currency rating on Sri Lanka is ‘SD’ (selective default). We do not assign outlooks to ‘SD’ ratings because they express a condition and not a forward-looking opinion of default probability.

The negative outlook on the local currency rating reflects the high risk to commercial debt repayments over the next 12 months in the context of Sri Lanka’s economic, external, and fiscal pressures.

Downside scenario

We could lower the local currency ratings if there are indications of nonpayment or restructuring of Sri Lankan rupee-denominated obligations.

Upside scenario

We could revise the outlook to stable or raise the local currency ratings if we perceive that the likelihood of the government’s local currency debt being excluded from any debt restructuring has increased. This could be the case if, for example, the government receives significant donor funding, which gives it some time to implement immediate and transformative reforms.

We would raise our long-term foreign currency sovereign credit rating upon completion of the government’s bond restructuring. The rating would reflect Sri Lanka’s post-restructuring creditworthiness. Our post-restructuring ratings tend to be in the ‘CCC’ or low ‘B’ categories, depending on the sovereign’s new debt structure and capacity to support that debt.

Rationale

Sri Lanka’s external public debt moratorium prevents payment of interest and principal obligations due on the government’s ISBs. As such, interest payments due June 3, June 28, and July 18 on its ISBs maturing 2024, 2025, and 2026, and the principal payment on its July 25, 2022, ISB, would have been affected. Following the missed payments, and given our expectation that payment will not be made within 30 calendar days of the due date, we have lowered the issue ratings on these bonds to ‘D’ (default).

Overdue payments now include the following bonds:

US$1.0 billion, 5.875% bonds due 2022.

US$1.25 billion, 5.75% bonds due 2023.

US$500 million, 6.35% bonds due 2024.

US$1.5 billion, 6.85% bonds due 2025.

US$650 million, 6.125% bonds due 2025.

US$1.0 billion, 6.825% bonds due 2026.

US$1.5 billion, 6.20% bonds due 2027.

US$1.25 billion, 6.75% bonds due 2028.

Germany’s Vitra Museum opens Sri Lankan Geoffrey Bawa exhibit

Installation view »Geoffrey Bawa: Architecture for the Senses« © Vitra Design Museum Photo: Bernhard Strauss

ECONOMYNEXT – The Vitra Design Museum, Germany, in partnership with the Geoffrey Bawa Trust, recently opened a major retrospective of acclaimed Sri Lanka architect Geoffrey Bawa’s work.

Geoffrey Bawa: Architecture for the Senses brings together over 250 exhibits, including drawings, models, furniture, historic footage, artworks, and photographs by Bawa.

The exhibition also includes newly commissioned works by photographer Iwan Baan that capture the lived-in quality of some of Bawa’s most iconic buildings.

With a scenography designed by architect Lina Ghotmeh, the exhibition will transform the Vitra Design Museum into an immersive environment that evokes the sensual power of Bawa’s practice.

The exhibition officially opened on September 25 with a talk attracting an audience of over 450, and an opening day turnout of more than 500 people.

With a career spanning five decades and over 200 projects, Geoffrey Bawa (1919–2003) was one of the most influential twentieth-century architects in Asia.

His architecture blends the principles of modernism with the rich architectural history of Sri Lanka, forming a distinctive oeuvre that includes private houses, schools, hotels, and factories, as well as the National Parliament.

“Geoffrey Bawa’s work occupies a unique position in the history of modern architecture. Rooted in Sri Lanka’s multiple architectural traditions, Bawa’s work offers a compelling alternative to the western narratives that have long shaped the architectural canon. Bawa’s relevance is just being rediscovered, and the exhibition will bring him to a wider attention,” says Mateo Kries, Director of the Vitra Design Museum.

“Bawa’s sensitive response to the cultural, political, and geographical conditions in which he worked, his deep understanding of how architecture engages the senses, his close collaborations with local artisans and social enterprises, and his vision of building with nature rather than against it make him an enduring inspiration for architects and designers today,” adds Johan Deurell, co-curator of the exhibition.

Bawa has been labelled a pioneer of Tropical Modernism, but the exhibition presents a more multi- layered perspective on Bawa’s work than this categorisation might suggest.

By highlighting Bawa’s engagement with collaboration, ecology, and the cultural context of architecture, the exhibition foregrounds him as an innovator of socially responsible and sustainable building practice, whose approaches are more relevant today than ever.

The exhibition includes a large selection of objects, models, and documents from the Geoffrey Bawa Trust, alongside artworks by Ena de Silva, Laki Senanayake, and Barbara Sansoni, archival images by Sebastian Posingis and Dominic Sansoni, and newly commissioned photographs by Iwan Baan as well as films by Kavindu Sivaraj and Ruvin de Silva. Together, these works provide a contemporary perspective on the intensity of Bawa’s buildings and their powerful natural environments.

A co-production of the Vitra Design Museum, M+, and the Wüstenrot Foundation, in collaboration with the Geoffrey Bawa Trust, Geoffrey Bawa: Architecture for the Senses will be at the Vitra Design Museum in Germany until 28 February 2027, before travelling to M+ in Hong Kong, where it will be shown from June 2027.

The Vitra Design Museum numbers among the world’s leading museums of design. It is dedicated to the research and presentation of design, past and present, and examines design’s relationship to architecture, art and everyday culture. M+ is Asia’s global museum of contemporary visual culture. Located in Hong Kong, it is dedicated to collecting, exhibiting, and interpreting visual art, design and architecture, moving image, and Hong Kong visual culture of the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. The Wüstenrot Foundation is dedicated to the preservation and development of both tangible and intangible cultural heritage. The foundation’s goal is to generate momentum for new ways of thinking and acting by developing and disseminating practice-oriented models.

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IMF airs Sri Lanka reform progress at Sampath Bank Economic Forum

The Forum discussion featuring P Nandalal Weerasinghe, Martha Tesfaye Woldemichael and moderator Tharindu Abeywardana, Sanjaya Gunawardana (top right), and Hiran Cabraal (bottom right).

ECONOMYNEXT – The absence of a staff-level agreement does not mean that the International Monetary Fund’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) programme is off track, IMF Resident Representative for Sri Lanka Martha Tesfaye Woldemichael has said.

Discussions can require additional time to reach agreement on key policies and parameters she told the Sampath Bank Economic Forum 2026.

Sri Lanka’s transition from economic stabilisation to its next phase of sustainable growth took centre stage at the event which brought together policymakers, economists and business leaders.

The seventh review of Sri Lanka’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) programme is ongoing.

Woldemichael said almost 85% of the total program objectives of the current programme were achieved, and highlighted the need to continue the reform agenda.

However, she also addressed concerns surrounding proposed amendments to Sri Lanka’s Anti-Corruption Act.

Woldemichael noted that the IMF supports reviewing the legislation based on implementation experience, “while raising concerns that some proposed amendments could weaken transparency and accountability, particularly in relation to public access to asset declarations, redaction rules and the scope of asset declarations”.

The IMF has similarly stated that preserving the integrity of the anti-corruption legislative framework remains critical to public trust.

The next challenge is moving from stabilisation to transformation through reforms that improve the business environment, attract investment, expand exports and generate durable growth, Woldemichael said.

The Forum also featured insights from Central bank of Sri Lanka Governor Nandalal Weerasinghe, and Hiran Cabraal, Independent Non-Executive Director of Sampath Bank.

The panel discussion, moderated by Tharindu Abeywardana, Chief Economist and Head of Research at Sampath Bank, examined Sri Lanka’s growth prospects and the implications of global economic shifts.

Sri Lanka’s progress now requires collective action, Sampath Bank Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer Sanjaya Gunawardana said. (Colombo/Oct4/2026)

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Cyber resilience starts at the top: Deloitte Sri Lanka

(L-R): Malinda Boyagoda, Mayuran Palanisamy, Rukshan Bharatha, Partner, Bhawna Pahuja

Deloitte Sri Lanka brought together board directors and business leaders for “Cyber Resilience Starts at the Top: The Board’s Strategic Role in Building a Resilient Organization,” a discussion on how boards can better prepare organisations for complex cyber disruption. The programme explored organisational resilience, cyber readiness, risk quantification and crisis response, and included an interactive cyber wargaming exercise designed to simulate a real incident and help leaders test decision-making and preparedness before a crisis occurs.

Opening the discussion, Malinda Boyagoda, Partner – Audit and Assurance, Assurance Leader and Industry Leader for Financial Services, Deloitte Sri Lanka and Maldives, placed cyber resilience within the wider context of disruption. His session considered risks arising from geopolitical uncertainty, cyber incidents, AI-enabled fraud, vulnerabilities in suppliers and partners, and growing regulatory expectations.

Malinda distinguished risk management from resilience: while risk management aims to reduce exposure, resilience is about keeping essential services running and recovering effectively when disruption occurs. He noted, “Cyber resilience is not simply about preventing disruption. It is about ensuring that critical services can continue, decisions can be made with confidence, and the organisation can recover and learn when disruption occurs.” Board members were advised to clarify responsibilities, test severe scenarios and seek evidence of preparedness rather than rely only on reassurance.

Building on this, Mayuran Palanisamy, Partner and Leader, Digital Trust and Privacy, Deloitte South Asia, focused on the difference between confidence and genuine readiness. He highlighted that confidence in an organisation’s cyber preparedness, including assurances provided by management, should be tested and questioned by the Board of Directors. By seeking evidence that response and recovery plans work in practice, boards can gain greater comfort that the organisation is genuinely prepared for a cyber incident.

Highlighting the role of leadership in strengthening cyber readiness, Mayuran said, “Cyber resilience requires boards to go beyond oversight and take a more active role in execution. This means asking management the right questions about the cyber strategy, ensuring there is flexibility in funding when risks emerge, and making cyber oversight a consistent part of the board agenda.”

The discussion then moved to the financial impact of cyber risk. Rukshan Bharatha, Partner, Controls Assurance, Deloitte Sri Lanka and Maldives, introduced Cyber Risk Quantification (CRQ) as a way of translating technical cyber threats into financial terms for board and leadership decisions. Rather than relying only on high, medium or low ratings, CRQ helps organisations understand what a cyber event could mean in monetary terms.
Rukshan explained, “If we want to understand cyber risk, we need to quantify it. Cyber Risk Quantification converts qualitative measures into financial values, giving boards a more tangible view of potential impact and a stronger basis for decisions on investment and the level of risk the organisation is prepared to carry.” He outlined how business exposure, incident scenarios and existing security controls can be used with statistical modelling to estimate potential losses and support decisions on cyber investment, regulatory requirements and insurance.

The final segment, led by Bhawna Pahuja, Associate Director, Cyber Defense & Resilience, Deloitte India, brought the earlier discussions to life through an interactive cyber crisis exercise. Participants were placed in a fictional financial institution facing an escalating cyber incident and asked to make time-sensitive decisions on containment, business continuity, communications, regulatory engagement and ransom response.

The exercise was designed to reflect the uncertainty and pressure leadership teams may face during a real cyber incident, with participants making decisions based on limited information as the situation evolved. It demonstrated how quickly a cyber issue can develop into an organisation-wide crisis, affecting customers, regulators, investors, reputation and operations. The session highlighted the importance of clear crisis roles, tested recovery plans and leadership teams that are prepared to make informed decisions under pressure.

Together, the sessions highlighted that cyber resilience is an organisation-wide responsibility, supported by informed board involvement, clear measures of risk, tested response plans and decisive leadership. Reflecting on the broader message, Vengadasalam Balagobi, Cyber and Technology Risk Head, and Information Security Leader, Deloitte Sri Lanka and Maldives, noted, “Cybersecurity is about protecting the organisation. Cyber resilience is about ensuring it can continue to operate, recover and adapt when disruption occurs. Organisations that prepare, test and learn before an incident are better positioned to respond with speed, confidence and clarity.”

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Sri Lanka Central Bank buys US$64.2mn in September amid depreciation pressure

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Central Bank bought a net US$64.2 million in September, official data showed, amid depreciation pressure on the local currency that touched a four-year low in the May this year.

The rupee fell 0.9 percent in September, the Central Bank has said.

The Central Bank bought US$85 million from the domestic foreign exchange market in September while selling US$20.8 million that same month, official data showed.

The Bank sold over US$211 million net in May for the first time in 22 months.

The Central Bank has net bought US$1,548.8 million in the first nine months of 2026 following a net purchase of US$2 billion last year.

The rupee was under high downward pressure in May as the imports bill for fuel rose unusually high following the Middle Eastern escalation amid continued demand for dollars to buy new vehicles.

However, it reversed course and gained in the next two months before falling in September.

The Central Bank has been buying dollars aggressively from the market to boost foreign currency reserves to meet the targets the country agreed with the IMF under the US$3 billion external fund facility and to repay the island nation’s multilateral and bilateral loans.

The Central Bank’s aggressive reserve building comes ahead of the repayment of foreign debts to sovereign bond holders in April 2028. (Colombo/October 03/2026)

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Sri Lanka CB expects ease of Middle East conflict in its inflation projection: Official 

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Central Bank expects the current Middle East conflict to ease and it to help curtail its inflation to the targeted 5 percent level in the second quarter of next year, a top Central Bank official said.
The Central Bank has projected inflation to be in the high single digits through the first quarter of 2027 and then ease to 5 percent.
Inflation in September remained at a 37-month high of 8 percent and has been above the Central Bank’s upper target limit of 7 percent for the past three months.
“We expect with the ease of the Middle East conflict going forward, and also the base effect from the second quarter onwards will.. help to decelerate inflation,” L R C Pathberiya, the head of the Central Bank’s Economic Research Department told reporters in a media briefing on Wednesday.
“So we expect inflation to stabilize around 5% from Q2 onwards, and it will gradually move towards 5%.”
He said although inflation remains high, inflation expectations for medium term remain broadly anchored around the target of 5 percent.
Central Bank Governor Nandalal Weerasinghe, in an August interview with Bloomberg stated that if oil prices remain around $80 a barrel toward the end of this year Sri Lanka can manage inflation and expected it to come down to the target level of 5% “towards end of this year and early next year.”
However, Brent crude prices have already risen above US$100 per barrel.
“Our baseline incorporates external global oil price forecasts published by institutional analysts, including projections from institutions like JP  Morgan, alongside baseline projections from international agencies such as the IMF’s World Economic Outlook and global macroeconomic models,” Weerasinghe told reporters on Wednesday when asked about the Central Bank’s prediction of easing the Middle East conflict in its inflation projection.
“We feed these independent forecasts directly into our analytical models,” he said,
“Because no entity can forecast global oil price movements with absolute certainty, these assumptions are updated periodically.”
“We do not generate proprietary forecasts for world oil prices; rather, our outlook reflects prevailing independent global assessments.If those baseline external assumptions shift, our domestic projections will adjust accordingly.” (Colombo/October 03/2026)
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Sri Lanka’s 5% inflation target unchanged for next three years: CB

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s inflation target for the next three years through October 2029 will be maintained at 5 percent and the agreement was signed between the government and the Central Bank, the monetary authority said in a statement on Friday.

The new  Monetary Policy Framework Agreement (MPFA) in terms of the latest Central Bank of Sri Lanka Act was signed between President Anura Kumara Dissanayake in his capacity as the Minister of Finance and Central Bank Governor Nandalal
Weerasinghe on Thursday (01), it said.

As per the new MPFA, the Central Bank shall aim to maintain quarterly headline inflation rate at 5% with a margin of ±2 percentage points. This means the Central Bank has to maintain the inflation between 3% and 7%.

The move comes at a time when the Central Bank has failed to maintain the inflation target at its upper limit of 7 percent in the last three months. The Bank has blamed =higher energy price for the deviation following the Middle East conflict.

As per the new Central Bank Act, the inflation target and related parameters are reviewed once in every three years, or at shorter intervals if exceptional circumstances so warrant.

“As part of the review, the Central Bank undertook a comprehensive technical assessment that considered  Sri Lanka’s economic structure, historical and empirical evidence, monetary policy considerations, the credibility of the framework, stakeholder views, and international experience and practices,” the Central Bank said in a statement.

“Based on the findings of the review, the Central Bank communicated its proposal to the Ministry of Finance. The Ministry, after careful consideration, accepted the recommendation.”

Critics have argued that a 5% inflation target is too high and it should be reduced to 2%. However, the Central Bank has said such reduction would have an adverse impact on the country’s economic growth. (Colombo/October 02/2026)

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