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Friday June 2nd, 2023

Sri Lanka stocks jump to over 3-month high on IMF deal hope after Chinese assurance 

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s share jumped to more than three-month high on Monday (23), on overall positive sentiment following assurances from India and China on debt restructuring, boosting overall market sentiment, dealers said.

The main All Share Price Index (ASPI) closed at 3.13 percent or 272.64 points higher at 8,990.94, its highest close since October 14, last year.

Shares had seen a broad base pick up after assurances from India and China over the ending of the week, prompting the market to move on green, an analyst said.

Mixtures of the possible IMF loan coming sooner, positive outlooks on debt restructuring, speculations on commercial banks not being extended towards domestic debt restructuring have driven the market upwards, he said.

Over the weekend, Beijing had given Sri Lanka a positive response over the request for debt re-structuring the Exim Bank of China has indicated that they are willing to support Sri Lanka’s debt re-structuring efforts, State Finance Minister Shehan Semasinghe said.

The Indian government last week informed the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on January (19), that it strongly supports Sri Lanka’s debt restructuring efforts in the latter’s bid to secure a 2.9 billion dollar extended fund facility (EFF).

Banking counters have significantly moved up due to speculations that domestic debt restructuring may not be extended to commercial banks, the analyst said.

Sri Lanka is expecting to get top executive board approval from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a 2.9 billion dollar loan, officials say, and that is expected to improve the country’s rating before the island nation seeking borrowing from global capital markets.

The most liquid index S&P SL20 closed higher at 3.48 percent or 94.72 points at 2,818.94.

First quarter of 2023 is expected to be negative with the taxations going in to effect from January 1 amid electricity tariff hike, which has got Cabinet approval and Sri Lanka’s Public Utilities Commission has taken a U Turn on the retrospective tariff hike.

The second quarter of 2023 is expected to be more positive with the anticipation of IMF getting through and with the interest rates expected to ease as the taxes starts to generate funds, dealers say.

Sri Lanka is expecting a further contraction in the economy after a negative growth in 2022, Cabinet Spokesperson Bandula Gunawardena said at the Weekly Cabinet Press Briefing.

The market witnessed a turnover of 2 billion rupees, higher than this month’s daily average of 1.9 billion rupees. However, it is also comparatively lower than 2022 daily average turnover of 2.9 billion rupees.

Top gainers at market close were Richard Pieris, Commercial Bank, Sampath Bank and LOLC. (Colombo/Jan23/2022)

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Sri Lanka to ramp up weekend fuel deliveries after petrol price cut

More deaths reported at Sri Lanka fuel queues

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s state-run Ceylon Petroleum Corporation will be operating on the weekend to complete all fuel deliveries to end vehicle queues forming outside fuel stations after the price revision earlier in the week, Energy Minister Kanchana Wijesekera said.

“Instructions have been given to CPC and Ceylon Petroleum Storage Terminals to continue fuel deliveries on Saturday and Sunday this week to supply sufficient stocks to all fuel stations,” Minister Wijesekera said in a TWITTER.COM MESSAGE

“To reduce expenses on overtime, CPC and CPSTL have not been operating on Sundays and public holidays in the last 4 months,” Wijesekera said.

“Non-placement of orders by fuel stations from last Saturday, anticipating a price reduction, not maintaining minimum stocks, immediate increase in demand by consumers after the price revision, and quota increase have created shortages in the fuel stations.”

The Minister in April 2023 said all fuel stations would be required to maintain a minimum of 50 percent of stock tank capacity.

“I have asked CPC to review and suspend the license of fuel stations that had not maintained minimum stocks.” (Colombo/ June 02/ 2023)

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Sri Lanka bonds yield up at close, rupee at 291.75/292.50 against the US dollar

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s bonds closed steady on Friday, dealers said, following the central bank’s decision to cut its main policy rate by 250 basis points.

The Spot US dollar closed at 291.75/292.50 rupees, dealers said.

The rupee opened at 290.25/75 to the US dollar Thursday and closed at 292.50/295.50 to the US dollar.

A bond maturing on 15.09.2027 closed at 24.70/90 percent up from 24.50/90 percent a day earlier, dealers said.

A bond maturing on 15.05.2026 closed at 25.75/26.25 percent up from 25.00/26.00 percent a day earlier.

A bond maturing on 01.05.2025 closed at 27.00/30 percent, up from 26.30/27.00 per cent at last close.

A bond maturing on 01.07.2032 closed at 20.25/21.00 percent, up from 20.00/40 per cent at last close.
(Colombo/ June 02/2023)

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Sri Lanka’s shares edge up on positive macroeconomic sentiments

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s shares closed higher in trade on Friday, over positive macro-sentiments encouraging investors to redeem their interest towards buying, an analyst said.

The main All Share Price Index was up 0.72 percent or 62.19 points to 8,753.80,  while the most liquid index S&P SL20 was up 0.68 percent or 16.87 points to 2,487.29.

Sri Lanka’s inflation in the 12-months to May 2023 has eased to 25.2 percent from 35.3 percent a month earlier according to a revised Colombo Consumer Price Index calculated by the state statistics office.

Prior to the Monetary Policy investors were quite optimistic that inflation is to lower and interest rates will decrease and since exp, an analyst said.

Sri Lanka Central Bank is waiting for the government proposal on the domestic debt restructuring (DDR), the central bank governor Nandalal Weerasinghe said amid uncertainty over DDR and speculations over instability in the banking sector.

“On debt restructuring, the borrower is the ministry of finance’s treasury. Certainly we will announce what the strategy will be. We are waiting for a government proposal,” Weerasinghe said.

Sri Lanka’s investors are waiting on assurances to be made on debt restructuring and optimization, Central Bank Governor Nandalal Weerasinghe said, “It is up to the government to clear the uncertainty, because from our side we have done that part.”

The central bank cut the key policy rates by 250 basis points to spur a faltering economic growth as inflation was decelerating faster than it projected.

The speculation of DDR has hit the market and the risk premium has kept the market lending rates well above the central bank’s policy rates. The government has yet to present its plans on DDR.

Weerasinghe said the central bank has done its best to reduce the risk premium through bringing down the market lending rates while keeping the policy rates unchanged.

Sri Lanka’s President Ranil Wickremesinghe has discussed progress of International Monetary Fund program and debt restructuring during a visit of Deputy Managing Director Kenji Okamura, statement said.

“The discussion primarily focused on the progress of the IMF program between Sri Lanka and the IMF,” a statement from President’s office said.

“Attention was also paid to the on-going debt restructuring negotiations.”

However Officials from IMF have said Sri Lanka has to focus on expanding taxes.

“We discussed the importance of fiscal measures, in particular revenue measures, for a return to macroeconomic stability,” Deputy Managing Director Kenji Okamura said in a statement.

The finance ministry this week issued rules requiring everyone above 18 year of age to register to pay income tax.

“I was encouraged by the authorities’ commitment to negotiate a debt strategy in a timely and transparent manner.

The market generated a revenue of 738 million rupees, while the daily average was 1 billion rupees.

Top gainers in trade were Vallibel One, LOLC Finance and Browns Investment. (Colombo/June02/2023)

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