ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s shares close up combatting a mixed and volatile session of trade as investors pace around the uncertainties in the financial sector due to debt restructuring and the upcoming IMF review, but sees gains in the consumer sector as demand and overall economic stabilization builds, an analyst said.
The main All Share Price Index was up 0.03 percent or 3.80 points to 11,357.45, while S&P SL20 was up 0.16 percent or 5.17 points to 3,224.01.
“There is strong investor sentiment, in the local front particularly in the consumer, food and beverage counters, which is pushing a pulse in the index,” an analyst said.
Gainers during trade were Hayleys, Asian Hotels and Properties and Hemas Holdings.
Sri Lanka’s 12-month consumer price inflation dropped to 4.0 percent with prices falling 0.1 percent within the month, data from the state statistics office showed.
Sri Lanka’s central bank has conducted deflationary open market operations to build reserves and also allowed the exchange rate to appreciate from March 2023.
The CCPI grew only 0.42 percent from September 2022 when the central bank registered a balance of payments surplus.
The banking sector is possessing a wait and see approach as a team from the International Monetary Fund will be in Sri Lanka from September 14 to 27 to conduct the first review of an Extended Fund Facility arrangement, a spokesperson said.
The review will be conducted on June data.
Officials have said Sri Lanka has over-achieved key IMF quantitative performance criteria though tax revenues, which is an indicative target has fallen short.
Sri Lanka will negotiate in parallel with the International Monetary Fund and external creditors with the expectation of completing debt restructuring in the October to November 2023 period, Central Bank Governor Nandalal Weerasinghe said.
An IMF team is due to come to Sri Lanka in September. Review and communications make take place up to October to November.
“First we have to come to an agreement with official creditors on the terms. That will have to happen before the next review,” Governor Weerasinghe said.
Sri Lanka has to complete domestic debt restructuring, which is currently held up over enacting a tax law.
“My understanding is that they have to have an assurance that creditors would have an understanding with the authorities – agreeing to the terms and conditions of the debt restructuring what is expected now.
“Like the DDO implementation that we are doing now. The implementation can even happen next year.”
“Uncertainties in the economy cause the market to juggle between being up on one day and down on another,” an analyst said.
Sri Lanka also has met several structural benchmarks, some of which are under World Bank and Asian Development Bank prior actions.
Central bank governor Nandalal Weerasinghe dismissed concerns over Sri Lanka purportedly failing to meet a number of commitments made to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) ahead of a September review, arguing that the authorities have made “good progress” in meeting quantitative targets.
The market generated a turnover of 1.5 billion rupees below the yearly average at 2 billion rupees. (Colombo/Sept05/2023)