Political News

Sri Lanka’s bleak political outlook in 2017

Saturday December 31, 2016 2:36 pm

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s President and Prime Minister mark two years of their "unity" government in January with their uneasy coalition facing mounting challenges to its stability and cohesion.

Our political correspondent examines the possible outcomes in 2017.

Best case:

President Maithripala Sirisena and Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe will sink their differences over the government’s perceived failure to prosecute high profile individuals of the previous regime accused of corruption and murder. Killers of Lasantha Wickramatunga and Wasim Thajudeen will be brought to justice.

The rule of law will be strengthened with the Police Commission and the other independent bodies taking a more pro-active role in living up to the expectations of people who voted for change in January 2015.

Neither leader will try to undermine the other nor will allow their aides to do so. President Sirisena will strengthen his hold on the fractured Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP). With Wickremesinghe’s United National Party (UNP), the two main Sinhalese political groups will approve a new constitution that will devolve more powers to the provinces, including the Tamil-majority north.

The government will escalate reconciliation moves and set up the long-delayed mechanism to investigate allegations of war-time atrocities. Both the SLFP and the UNP will support prosecution of war criminals and Sri Lanka will win back the support of the international community. International investor confidence rises and Sri Lanka will be truly on its way to becoming a rapidly developing economy despite adverse global conditions.

Worst case:

Tensions between President Maithripala Sirisena and Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe will escalate over the government’s failure to pursue allegedly corrupt high profile individuals of the former regime.

Wickremesinghe will support opposition MPs such as Wimal Weerawansa and Udaya Gammanpila to prevent the two SLFP factions coming together. Despite UNP attempts, the two SLFP factions unite and engineer defections from the UNP to oust Prime Minister Wickremesinghe through a no-confidence resolution in parliament. Sirisena forms an SLFP-led government and appoints a strong loyalist as his Prime Minister.

The 2015 agenda for constitutional reform is abandoned. There is no move towards reconciliation, accountability or a political solution to the decades-long ethnic conflict. Sri Lanka regains its international pariah status, will rely even more heavily on China for economic and diplomatic support to stave off international censure.

High profile corruption and murder investigations are stalled and the judiciary goes back to its old ways. Nationalism rises and the country adopts protectionist economic policies, market manipulators return and, paradoxically, the stock mark starts to rise, albeit artificially.

Most likely outcome:

President Maithripala Sirisena and Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe keep up public appearances of a coherent unity administration despite escalating tensions. The President will struggle to increase his hold on the SLFP, but former president Mahinda Rajapaksa will remain a key factor that divides the party.

Despite his rhetoric, the Rajapaksa faction will not be able to take full control of the SLFP to mount a serious challenge to Prime Minister Wickremesinghe. The government is unlikely to be able to push through a new constitution that will address minority demands for sharing greater political power at the provincial level because of opposition from powerful nationalistic elements within the two main political parties.

However, Sri Lanka will be able to buy more time at the March UN Human Rights Council sessions, but the international community’s patience with Sri Lanka will wear thin by the end of the year. There will be little progress on reconciliation and even less on ensuring accountability for war crimes given the strong nationalistic forces within both the SLFP and the UNP.

The Tamil National Alliance (TNA), despite its 16 seats in parliament will not be able to make an impact on the government to push constitutional reforms. Former president Rajapaksa’s vow to topple the government in 2017 will help him remain relevant within his group of supporters, but he will not have the means to achieve his objective. The economic front will also be challenging.

The government will not be able to get its "Agency for development" established as provincial councils have already shot it down. Sri Lanka will rely on Chinese funding, but apart from that getting foreign direct investment will be a serious challenge given the domestic political risks and the global economic complexities.

Voter frustration will rise as the government is unable to conclude any of the high profile cases dragging for many years. Judicial integrity will be a key issue in the New Year with Sri Lanka set to face censure over two judgements that saw members of security forces accused of high profile killings go scot free. The New Year will see a period of drift, both economically and politically with no party able to drastically change the status quo.

Please see our political trajectory forecast in October here.

Bonds & Forex

Sri Lanka rupee closes at 332.53/59 to US dollar spot, bond yields edge up

Monday November 9, 2026 5:05 pm

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s rupee closed at 332.53/59 to the US dollar spot on Monday, from 332.55/60 the previous day, while bond yields closed higher, dealers said.

A bond maturing on 15.09.2029 closed at 190/98 percent, up from 10.85/95 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.08.2030 closed at 11.07/12 percent, up from 11.05/10 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.02.2031 closed at 11.30/40 percent, up from 11.10/15 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.12.2032 closed at 11.65/70 percent, up from 11.55/65 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.11.2033 closed at 11.95/12.00 percent, up from 11.90/95 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.10.2034 closed at 12.10/15 percent, up from 12.05/12 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.08.2036 closed at 12.40/50 percent, up from 12.30/40 percent. (Colombo/Nov9/2026)

Markets

Sri Lanka stocks close up 1.37-pct, banks lead turnover

Monday November 9, 2026 3:29 pm

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Colombo Stock Exchange closed up on Monday, CSE data showed, with the benchmark All Share Price Index moving up 1.37 percent.

The ASPI was up 291.72 points at 21,531.37, while the more liquid S&P SL20 was up 1.67 percent, or 100.96 points, at 6,146.34.

Positive contributors to the ASPI were Commercial Bank of Ceylon (up 2.86 percent at 216.00 rupees), Hatton National Bank (up 1.52 percent at 399.75 rupees), Asiri Hospital Holdings (up 12.86 percent at 31.60 rupees), Tokyo Cement Company (up 5.22 percent at 84.70 rupees), and Access Engineering (up 3.93 percent at 81.90 rupees).

Carson Cumberbatch (down 4.24 percent at 712.00 rupees), Richard Pieris and Company (down 2.43 percent at 28.10 rupees), LOLC Holdings (down 0.62 percent at 400.00 rupees), Renuka Holdings (down 2.63 percent at 37.00 rupees), and Chevron Lubricants Lanka (down 0.61 percent at 204.25 rupees) were top negative contributors.

Market turnover was 3.33 billion rupees. The S&P/CSE Banks Industry Group led turnover with 667.76 million rupees.

The session saw heavy crossings, according to Raynal Wickremeratne, Head of Research and Strategy at NDB Securities. Significant crossings included Keells (23 million rupees), Distilleries Company (27.7 million rupees), Sunshine Holdings (30.6 million rupees), Commercial Bank (32.4 million rupees), Ceylon Tobacco Company (35.6 million rupees), Hatton National Bank (39.5 million rupees), Prime Lands (40.5 million rupees), and HAS Holdings (41.5 million rupees).

In corporate news, Hayleys Retail Holdings Ltd announced it has partnered with supply chain software provider Blue Yonder to build and scale an AI-native grocery supermarket chain across Sri Lanka. (Colombo/Nov09/2026)

Information Technology

Sri Lanka’s Hayleys Retail to launch supermarket chain with Blue Yonder

Monday November 9, 2026 3:12 pm

ECONOMYNEXT — Hayleys Retail Holdings Ltd has selected supply chain software provider Blue Yonder to build its grocery retail operations from the ground up, the two companies said in a joint statement.

Hayleys Retail, a member of Sri Lanka’s diversified conglomerate Hayleys Group, plans to open several stores in the near future to serve consumers across the country. The agreement marks Blue Yonder’s first retail customer in Sri Lanka.

“Our entry into supermarket retail is about bringing that same commitment to quality and reliability closer to everyday Sri Lankan consumers,” Mohan Pandithage, Chairman and Chief Executive of Hayleys PLC said.

“With Blue Yonder, our teams will have AI-driven insight to deliver a seamless, consistent shopping experience across every store,” he said.

Hayleys, which accounts for approximately 5 percent of Sri Lanka’s export income and operates across 17 business sectors, is entering the large-scale supermarket space by drawing on its group strengths in manufacturing, logistics, and services.

The company selected Blue Yonder to connect its data across merchandising and shelf space, deploy artificial intelligence agents to catch operational issues early, and scale its business into a national network without changing platforms.

The rollout will begin with merchandise operations to manage suppliers, items, costs, and pricing, followed by machine learning capabilities to forecast demand and balance store inventory during seasonal peaks.

“Hayleys Retail is choosing one where AI is the foundation rather than an add-on—connected data and agentic AI built into core merchandising operations, and planning that learns as the business grows,” Antonio Boccalandro, President, APAC at Blue Yonder said.

The retailer plans to use the platform to automate routine store tasks and adjust inventory according to real-time sales and local market trends as its store footprint grows. (Colombo/Nov09/2026)

Stocks & Companies

Sri Lanka’s Citrus Leisure extends Lotus Tower management pact

Monday November 9, 2026 1:16 pm

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka listed hospitality firm Citrus Leisure said it has extended an agreement to manage consumer-facing and entertainment spaces at the Colombo Lotus Tower, which includes revolving restaurant Blue Orbit, until June next year.

The initial agreement signed between Citrus Leisure and Colombo Lotus Tower Management Company (Private) Limited (CLTMC) is due to expire on December 11.

“The Board of Directors of CLTMC at meeting held on 2nd November 2026 has resolved to extend the term of the Management Agreement and continue the existing Management Agreement until 30th June 2027, to which the company has given its concurrence,” the company said in a market filing.

Citrus Leisure Plc opened its revolving restaurant at the Lotus Tower in December 2023.

The company signed a 3-year agreement with CLTMC in May 2023 to provide services in the management of (l) the banquet hall 1 on the 25th floor, (2) the banquet hall 2 on the 26th floor, (3) the revolving restaurant on the 27th floor, (4) the 6 suites situated on the 28th floor and the kitchen in the basement floor of the Colombo Lotus Tower.

The 350-meter or 1,150-feet tower, the tallest in South Asia, was built at a cost 104.3 million US dollars with 80 percent of the money borrowed from Exim Bank of China.

Located in the commercial heart of Colombo, the tower has been called a symbolic landmark of Sri Lanka as well as a colossal white elephant and has been mired in controversy for years. (Colombo/Nov9/2026)

Markets

CIC Holdings Sept quarter net profit rises 20-pct to Rs1.7bn

Monday November 9, 2026 11:50 am

ECONOMYNEXT — Sri Lanka conglomerate CIC Holdings recorded a net profit of 1.66 billion rupees for the quarter ended September 30, rising 20.3 percent from 1.38 billion rupees in the same quarter last year, interim accounts showed.

The group posted basic earnings per share of 0.87 rupees for the September quarter, up from 0.73 rupees a year earlier.

Quarterly revenue grew 3.4 percent to 20.89 billion rupees from 20.20 billion rupees, supported by broad-based growth across industrial solutions, livestock, and healthcare segments, which counterbalanced relative demand moderation in agricultural inputs.

Cost of sales rose 5.3 percent to 15.20 billion rupees, outpacing revenue growth and causing gross profit to contract marginally by 1.2 percent to 5.68 billion rupees.

Results from operating activities dropped 7.3 percent to 2.66 billion rupees from 2.87 billion rupees, impacted by higher operating overheads.

Selling expenses expanded 6.8 percent to 2.15 billion rupees, and general and administrative expenses climbed 5.8 percent to 1.07 billion rupees, while other operating income dropped 29.6 percent to 117.40 million rupees.

However, operating profits were cushioned by an impairment reversal on trade receivables of 85.83 million rupees, turning around from an impairment provision of 23.38 million rupees in the corresponding quarter last year.

Net finance costs climbed 35.4 percent to 712.25 million rupees from 526.01 million rupees.

The increase was driven by a 30.8 percent rise in finance expenses to 771.46 million rupees, primarily reflecting higher interest expenses on loans to finance elevated working capital and inventory requirements.

The quarter’s bottom line was strongly bolstered by CIC’s equity-accounted investment in John Keells Holdings PLC (JKH).

Share of profit from equity-accounted investees surged more than fourfold to 590.50 million rupees from 257.87 million rupees, driven by JKH’s strong profit expansion during the period.

The group also recognized a gain on bargain purchase of 55.59 million rupees during the quarter resulting from additional share purchases in JKH where the proportionate net asset value exceeded acquisition cost, compared to no such gain a year earlier.

With associate income gains offsetting operating margin contraction and higher borrowing costs, group pre-tax profit held virtually flat at 2.59 billion rupees, down 0.11 percent.

Income tax expense fell 29.4 percent to 606.24 million rupees from 858.71 million rupees, driving total group profit for the period up 14.1 percent to 1.98 billion rupees.

Total group assets stood at 108.58 billion rupees as of September 30, up from 99.75 billion rupees at the end of March 2026.

Group net asset value per share increased to 25.52 rupees from 22.10 rupees a year earlier.

CIC Holdings’ ordinary voting shares closed at 27.80 rupees at the end of September.(Colombo/Nov09/2026)

Markets

Sri Lanka stocks trend up; ASPI gains 0.78-pct

Monday November 9, 2026 10:40 am

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Colombo Stock Exchange was trading higher on Monday, CSE data showed, with the benchmark All Share Price Index moving up 0.78 percent.

The ASPI was up 165.73 points at 21,405.38, while the more liquid S&P SL20 was up 0.61 percent, or 37.04 points, at 6,082.42.

Positive contributors to the ASPI were Commercial Bank (up 1.55 percent at 213.25 rupees), Ceylon Cold Stores (up 2.61 percent at 128.00 rupees), Asiri Hospital Holdings (up 10.00 percent at 30.80 rupees), Hemas Holdings (up 1.27 percent at 32.00 rupees), and Ambeon Holdings (up 6.02 percent at 37.00 rupees).

Namunukula Plantations (down 3.92 percent at 63.70 rupees), LOLC Holdings (down 0.62 percent at 400.00 rupees), and Chevron Lubricants Lanka (down 0.12 percent at 205.25 rupees) were top negative contributors.

Market turnover was 428.31 million rupees. Capital goods led turnover with 82.53 million rupees. (Colombo/Nov09/2026)