ECONOMYNEXT – Fitch Ratings has affirmed Sri Lankan conglomerate Hayleys PLC’s National Long-Term Rating of ‘AAA(lka)’ based on its diversification and exports.
Hayleys’ outstanding senior unsecured debentures were also affirmed at ‘AAA(lka)’.
“Hayleys’ rating reflects its large operating scale and diversification across end-markets and business segments. Its significant export earnings drive sustainable operating cash flow and counterbalance temporary challenges in some business segments,” the ratings agency said.
The full statement is reproduced below:
Fitch Affirms Hayleys at ‘AAA(lka); Outlook Stable
Fitch Ratings – Colombo/Singapore: Fitch Ratings has affirmed Sri Lankan conglomerate Hayleys PLC’s National Long-Term Rating of ‘AAA(lka)’. The Outlook is Stable. The agency has also affirmed the ratings on Hayleys’ outstanding senior unsecured debentures at ‘AAA(lka)’.
Hayleys’ rating reflects its large operating scale and diversification across end-markets and business segments. Its significant export earnings drive sustainable operating cash flow and counterbalance temporary challenges in some business segments. We forecast the company’s financial profile to remain commensurate with its rating.
We rate Hayleys’ outstanding unsecured debentures in line with its issuer rating, as we believe subordination risk from debt at subsidiaries is limited. This is the case so long as the ratio of debt at subsidiaries to consolidated EBITDA remains no higher than 2.5x, the level at the end of the first half of the financial year ending March 2026 (FY26).
Key Rating Drivers
Geographic and Business Diversification: Eight businesses generate over 80% of Hayleys’ group EBIT, while direct and indirect exports accounted for 53% of revenue in FY25. Around 15% of revenue stems from Europe and the US, indicating low exposure to slower-growth developed markets.
Hayleys’ manufacturing locations are also diversified beyond Sri Lanka. Only 55% of its Purification segment capacity is local, with the rest located in Thailand and Indonesia. The Hand Protection segment, which produces rubber gloves, also operates in Thailand, the world’s largest source of natural rubber.
Rising Operating Cash Flow Growth: We expect revenue to rise by 19% in FY26, driven by the Consumer & Retail, Hand Protection, Purification and Transportation & Logistics segments. Consumer & Retail is benefiting from recovering demand in Sri Lanka, while Hand Protection and Purification should gain from capacity expansion and new product lines. We also expect the Transportation & Logistics segment to benefit from rising transshipment volume in Asia. This growth should counterbalance weaker performance in Textiles on softening demand in key export markets.
We expect the EBITDA margin to moderate to around 10% in FY26, from 11% in FY25, driven by the Textiles segment, which is facing softening volumes due to increased US tariffs, leading to pricing pressure, while the Construction segment is facing high operating leverage due to underutilised capacity. The EBITDA margin should recover to around 11% in FY27, once the full impact of price adjustments and improving capacity utilisation in these segments is realised. We also expect full-year cash flow from capacity expansion in the Hand Protection and Purification segments to materialise during FY27.
Steady Leverage: We expect EBITDAR net leverage to stay at around 3.0x-3.5x in FY26-FY28, excluding step-down subsidiary, Singer Finance (Lanka) PLC (SFP, BBB+(lka)/Stable). We exclude SFP’s net debt and EBITDAR to assess Hayleys’ credit profile, as the step-down subsidiary does not materially fund Hayleys’ product sales or share a common brand. We expect Hayleys to spend around LKR20 billion in annual capex on capacity expansion across its business segments, which should boost revenue growth, but will keep free cash flow (FCF) negative.
Strong Market Presence: Hayleys is a leading player in Sri Lanka’s logistics, consumer-durable retail and tea export industries. It also has a prominent share of the fragmented global hand protection and coconut shell-based activated carbon purification markets. Strong customer relationships underpin its position. Some units face significant customer concentration, but the risk is mitigated by high switching costs and established ties. Hayleys’ competitive position is strengthened by its vertical integration, enabling it to capture more profits along the value chain, and strong relationships with suppliers.
Adequate Holding-Company Financial Profile: Hayleys strong ownership and control of its operating subsidiaries allows it to extract subsidiaries’ operating cash flow to service its obligations. We expect holding-company interest coverage – calculated as cash flow from operations net of interest paid/interest paid – to remain comfortably above 1.0x over the medium-term. This supports our view of limited cash flow subordination of the holding company.
Peer Analysis
We rate Hayleys at the same level as domestic beer manufacturer, Lion Brewery (Ceylon) PLC (AAA(lka)/Stable), which benefits from more defensive cash flow. Lion is the clear market leader in Sri Lanka’s beer industry and is protected by high entry barriers stemming from licensing requirements, a ban on advertising, strong brand presence and an extensive retail and distribution network. Hayleys is more diversified, while Lion is exposed to a single product category, but Lion has a stronger financial profile given modest requirements for investing in product expansion.
We also rate domestic conglomerate, Melstacorp PLC (AAA(lka)/Stable), at the same level as Hayleys. Melstacorp benefits from more defensive cash flow and a stronger FCF profile, due to its market leadership in the protected domestic spirits market. In contrast, Hayleys is exposed to more cyclical end-markets in some of its business segments, which are also more fragmented. However, Hayleys’ greater geographical and end-market diversity mitigates some of these risks, whereas Melstacorp’s operations are largely concentrated in Sri Lanka.
We rate Hemas Holdings PLC (AAA(lka)/Stable) at the same level as Hayleys. Hemas’s rating is driven by its defensive businesses, including imports, manufacturing and the retail of pharmaceuticals, personal and homecare consumer products. It also has significantly stronger FCF, a record of measured expansion and strong liquidity. These strengths offset its smaller scale and limited geographical diversification compared with Hayleys.
Sunshine Holdings PLC (AA+(lka)/Stable) is rated one notch below Hayleys to reflect its significantly smaller operating scale, limited geographical diversification and regulatory risks in some of its businesses, which are mitigated by its better financial profile with lower leverage. Sunshine has been more conservative with its expansion than Hayleys, growing only within its core businesses without significantly pressuring its balance sheet. In contrast, Hayleys has a history of debt-funded growth, resulting in higher leverage than at Sunshine.
Hayleys’ credit considerations lead to a higher rating than for large domestic banks, non-bank financial institutions and insurance companies, which are more exposed to sovereign stress due to holdings of large sovereign-issued securities for regulatory reasons. The large financial institutions also have broader exposure to the various economic sectors.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
Revenue growth of 19% in FY26 and 6% in FY27, supported by growth in the Consumer & Retail, Hand Protection, Purification and Transportation & Logistics segments.
EBITDA margin of around 10% in FY26 (down by 83bp yoy), due to pressure on margins in the Textiles and Construction segments. Margin to recover to 11% in FY27, supported by a recovery in these segments and capacity expansion in others.
Capex averaging at around LKR20 billion over FY26-FY29, similar to levels seen in the last few years.
Dividend payout of around LKR4.5 billion in FY26, with 10% annual growth in dividend per share from FY27-FY29.
Conclusion of Hayleys’ rights issue of LKR9 billion in FY26, with proceeds used to finance new investments and repay debt.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative Rating Action/Downgrade
Group EBITDAR net leverage (excluding SFP) increasing to above 4.0x for a sustained period.
Group EBITDAR fixed-charge coverage falling below 2.0x for a sustained period (FY25: 3.1x).
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive Rating Action/Upgrade
There is no scope for an upgrade, as the company is already at the highest rating on the Sri Lankan National Rating scale.
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Hayleys had around LKR45 billion in unrestricted cash at end-September 2025 against around LKR160 billion in debt maturing in the next 12 months. This includes short-term debt, but excludes customer deposits and debt at SFP of around LKR40 billion. About LKR115 billion of debt consists of short-term working-capital lines, which we expect banks to roll over, as they are backed by around LKR165 billion in estimated net working capital on the balance sheet and the company’s healthy cash conversion cycle of around 130 days.
Hayleys has demonstrated strong access to domestic banks as one of Sri Lanka’s largest listed domestic corporates, which further supports its liquidity profile.
Issuer Profile
Hayleys is a large listed domestic conglomerate with prominent market positions in diversified business sectors, including transportation, consumer and retail, textiles, rubber gloves and plantations. It derives around half of its revenue from outside Sri Lanka.
REFERENCES FOR SUBSTANTIALLY MATERIAL SOURCE CITED AS KEY DRIVER OF RATING
The principal sources of information used in the analysis are described in the Applicable Criteria.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Click here to access Fitch’s latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor data file which aggregates key data points used in our credit analysis. Fitch’s macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items included.