Economy

Singapore to keep appreciating currency to cut inflation as Sri Lanka sees 12-month deflation

Friday November 1, 2024 12:33 pm

ECONOMYNEXT – The Monetary Authority of Singapore said it will keep appreciating the Sing dollar to bring inflation down, while warning that an external downturn can abruptly bring the price index down.

The MAS appreciates the currency (usually when the Fed prints money and creates inflation) along a nominal effective exchange rate band (NEER) managing to keep inflation at 2 percent or lower and interest rates that of the US.

MAS said it core inflation (which includes food and energy but not accommodation and personal transport – due to complications like penalty fees), has started to ease and will fall to 2 percent by end 2024.

“CPI-All Items inflation is forecast to average 1.5–2.5 percent as well in 2025,” the MAS said in its most recent monetary policy statement.

“Accommodation inflation should slow as leasing demand falls, partly offsetting an anticipated pickup in private transport inflation amid still-firm car purchases.

To be able to appreciate the currency at will, the Monetary Authority of Singapore does not have a policy rate where macro-economists can print money to cut rates and trigger reserve losses and currency crises.

“…[T]he choice of the exchange rate as the intermediate target of monetary policy implies that MAS gives up control over domestic interest rates (and money supply),” the MAS said in a explanatory note.

“In the context of free capital movements, interest rates in Singapore are largely determined by foreign interest rates and investor expectations of the future movements in the Singapore dollar.

“Domestic interest rates have typically been below US interest rates and reflect market expectations of a trend appreciation of the Singapore dollar over time.”

Singapore usually sells MAS Securities to run mildly deflationary policy. For many year the MAS has also converted EPF deposits in to fiscal foreign reserve and invested them in the GIC.

“The exchange rate has been an effective tool to manage inflation in the Singapore economy,” the MAS said in a policy note.

“Over the past forty years or so since the exchange rate framework has been in place, domestic inflation has been relatively low, averaging 1.9 percent per annum from 1981 to 2023.

“As a result of the long record of low inflation, expectations of price stability in Singapore have become more entrenched over the years. The exchange rate system has also helped to mitigate the adverse effects of short-term volatility on the real economy…”

Sri Lanka usually cuts rates with inflationary open market operations (acquires Treasuries or other domestic assets) trigger forex crisis and pushes up rates sky high in a stabilization crisis triggering a downturn.

Over the past two years however the central bank has run deflationary policy and sharply appreciated the currency, reversing some of the depreciation since 2022.

The Colombo Consumer Price Index dropped 0.8 percent in the 12-months to October. The index had grown only 0.3 percent since September 2022, when balance of payments deficits from inflationary policy stopped. (Colombo/Nov01/2024)

Markets

Sri Lanka stocks close up 1.37-pct, banks lead turnover

Monday November 9, 2026 3:29 pm

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Colombo Stock Exchange closed up on Monday, CSE data showed, with the benchmark All Share Price Index moving up 1.37 percent.

The ASPI was up 291.72 points at 21,531.37, while the more liquid S&P SL20 was up 1.67 percent, or 100.96 points, at 6,146.34.

Positive contributors to the ASPI were Commercial Bank of Ceylon (up 2.86 percent at 216.00 rupees), Hatton National Bank (up 1.52 percent at 399.75 rupees), Asiri Hospital Holdings (up 12.86 percent at 31.60 rupees), Tokyo Cement Company (up 5.22 percent at 84.70 rupees), and Access Engineering (up 3.93 percent at 81.90 rupees).

Carson Cumberbatch (down 4.24 percent at 712.00 rupees), Richard Pieris and Company (down 2.43 percent at 28.10 rupees), LOLC Holdings (down 0.62 percent at 400.00 rupees), Renuka Holdings (down 2.63 percent at 37.00 rupees), and Chevron Lubricants Lanka (down 0.61 percent at 204.25 rupees) were top negative contributors.

Market turnover was 3.33 billion rupees. The S&P/CSE Banks Industry Group led turnover with 667.76 million rupees.

The session saw heavy crossings, according to Raynal Wickremeratne, Head of Research and Strategy at NDB Securities. Significant crossings included Keells (23 million rupees), Distilleries Company (27.7 million rupees), Sunshine Holdings (30.6 million rupees), Commercial Bank (32.4 million rupees), Ceylon Tobacco Company (35.6 million rupees), Hatton National Bank (39.5 million rupees), Prime Lands (40.5 million rupees), and HAS Holdings (41.5 million rupees).

In corporate news, Hayleys Retail Holdings Ltd announced it has partnered with supply chain software provider Blue Yonder to build and scale an AI-native grocery supermarket chain across Sri Lanka. (Colombo/Nov09/2026)

Information Technology

Sri Lanka’s Hayleys Retail to launch supermarket chain with Blue Yonder

Monday November 9, 2026 3:12 pm

ECONOMYNEXT — Hayleys Retail Holdings Ltd has selected supply chain software provider Blue Yonder to build its grocery retail operations from the ground up, the two companies said in a joint statement.

Hayleys Retail, a member of Sri Lanka’s diversified conglomerate Hayleys Group, plans to open several stores in the near future to serve consumers across the country. The agreement marks Blue Yonder’s first retail customer in Sri Lanka.

“Our entry into supermarket retail is about bringing that same commitment to quality and reliability closer to everyday Sri Lankan consumers,” Mohan Pandithage, Chairman and Chief Executive of Hayleys PLC said.

“With Blue Yonder, our teams will have AI-driven insight to deliver a seamless, consistent shopping experience across every store,” he said.

Hayleys, which accounts for approximately 5 percent of Sri Lanka’s export income and operates across 17 business sectors, is entering the large-scale supermarket space by drawing on its group strengths in manufacturing, logistics, and services.

The company selected Blue Yonder to connect its data across merchandising and shelf space, deploy artificial intelligence agents to catch operational issues early, and scale its business into a national network without changing platforms.

The rollout will begin with merchandise operations to manage suppliers, items, costs, and pricing, followed by machine learning capabilities to forecast demand and balance store inventory during seasonal peaks.

“Hayleys Retail is choosing one where AI is the foundation rather than an add-on—connected data and agentic AI built into core merchandising operations, and planning that learns as the business grows,” Antonio Boccalandro, President, APAC at Blue Yonder said.

The retailer plans to use the platform to automate routine store tasks and adjust inventory according to real-time sales and local market trends as its store footprint grows. (Colombo/Nov09/2026)

Stocks & Companies

Sri Lanka’s Citrus Leisure extends Lotus Tower management pact

Monday November 9, 2026 1:16 pm

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka listed hospitality firm Citrus Leisure said it has extended an agreement to manage consumer-facing and entertainment spaces at the Colombo Lotus Tower, which includes revolving restaurant Blue Orbit, until June next year.

The initial agreement signed between Citrus Leisure and Colombo Lotus Tower Management Company (Private) Limited (CLTMC) is due to expire on December 11.

“The Board of Directors of CLTMC at meeting held on 2nd November 2026 has resolved to extend the term of the Management Agreement and continue the existing Management Agreement until 30th June 2027, to which the company has given its concurrence,” the company said in a market filing.

Citrus Leisure Plc opened its revolving restaurant at the Lotus Tower in December 2023.

The company signed a 3-year agreement with CLTMC in May 2023 to provide services in the management of (l) the banquet hall 1 on the 25th floor, (2) the banquet hall 2 on the 26th floor, (3) the revolving restaurant on the 27th floor, (4) the 6 suites situated on the 28th floor and the kitchen in the basement floor of the Colombo Lotus Tower.

The 350-meter or 1,150-feet tower, the tallest in South Asia, was built at a cost 104.3 million US dollars with 80 percent of the money borrowed from Exim Bank of China.

Located in the commercial heart of Colombo, the tower has been called a symbolic landmark of Sri Lanka as well as a colossal white elephant and has been mired in controversy for years. (Colombo/Nov9/2026)

Markets

CIC Holdings Sept quarter net profit rises 20-pct to Rs1.7bn

Monday November 9, 2026 11:50 am

ECONOMYNEXT — Sri Lanka conglomerate CIC Holdings recorded a net profit of 1.66 billion rupees for the quarter ended September 30, rising 20.3 percent from 1.38 billion rupees in the same quarter last year, interim accounts showed.

The group posted basic earnings per share of 0.87 rupees for the September quarter, up from 0.73 rupees a year earlier.

Quarterly revenue grew 3.4 percent to 20.89 billion rupees from 20.20 billion rupees, supported by broad-based growth across industrial solutions, livestock, and healthcare segments, which counterbalanced relative demand moderation in agricultural inputs.

Cost of sales rose 5.3 percent to 15.20 billion rupees, outpacing revenue growth and causing gross profit to contract marginally by 1.2 percent to 5.68 billion rupees.

Results from operating activities dropped 7.3 percent to 2.66 billion rupees from 2.87 billion rupees, impacted by higher operating overheads.

Selling expenses expanded 6.8 percent to 2.15 billion rupees, and general and administrative expenses climbed 5.8 percent to 1.07 billion rupees, while other operating income dropped 29.6 percent to 117.40 million rupees.

However, operating profits were cushioned by an impairment reversal on trade receivables of 85.83 million rupees, turning around from an impairment provision of 23.38 million rupees in the corresponding quarter last year.

Net finance costs climbed 35.4 percent to 712.25 million rupees from 526.01 million rupees.

The increase was driven by a 30.8 percent rise in finance expenses to 771.46 million rupees, primarily reflecting higher interest expenses on loans to finance elevated working capital and inventory requirements.

The quarter’s bottom line was strongly bolstered by CIC’s equity-accounted investment in John Keells Holdings PLC (JKH).

Share of profit from equity-accounted investees surged more than fourfold to 590.50 million rupees from 257.87 million rupees, driven by JKH’s strong profit expansion during the period.

The group also recognized a gain on bargain purchase of 55.59 million rupees during the quarter resulting from additional share purchases in JKH where the proportionate net asset value exceeded acquisition cost, compared to no such gain a year earlier.

With associate income gains offsetting operating margin contraction and higher borrowing costs, group pre-tax profit held virtually flat at 2.59 billion rupees, down 0.11 percent.

Income tax expense fell 29.4 percent to 606.24 million rupees from 858.71 million rupees, driving total group profit for the period up 14.1 percent to 1.98 billion rupees.

Total group assets stood at 108.58 billion rupees as of September 30, up from 99.75 billion rupees at the end of March 2026.

Group net asset value per share increased to 25.52 rupees from 22.10 rupees a year earlier.

CIC Holdings’ ordinary voting shares closed at 27.80 rupees at the end of September.(Colombo/Nov09/2026)

Markets

Sri Lanka stocks trend up; ASPI gains 0.78-pct

Monday November 9, 2026 10:40 am

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Colombo Stock Exchange was trading higher on Monday, CSE data showed, with the benchmark All Share Price Index moving up 0.78 percent.

The ASPI was up 165.73 points at 21,405.38, while the more liquid S&P SL20 was up 0.61 percent, or 37.04 points, at 6,082.42.

Positive contributors to the ASPI were Commercial Bank (up 1.55 percent at 213.25 rupees), Ceylon Cold Stores (up 2.61 percent at 128.00 rupees), Asiri Hospital Holdings (up 10.00 percent at 30.80 rupees), Hemas Holdings (up 1.27 percent at 32.00 rupees), and Ambeon Holdings (up 6.02 percent at 37.00 rupees).

Namunukula Plantations (down 3.92 percent at 63.70 rupees), LOLC Holdings (down 0.62 percent at 400.00 rupees), and Chevron Lubricants Lanka (down 0.12 percent at 205.25 rupees) were top negative contributors.

Market turnover was 428.31 million rupees. Capital goods led turnover with 82.53 million rupees. (Colombo/Nov09/2026)

Bonds & Forex

Sri Lanka rupee at 332.54/58 to US dollar spot, bond yields steady

Monday November 9, 2026 10:35 am

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s rupee was quoted at 332.54/58 to the US dollar spot on Monday, stronger from 332.55/60 Friday, while bond yields held broadly steady, dealers said.

A bond maturing on 15.09.2029 was quoted at 10.90/95 percent, up from 10.85/95 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.08.2030 was quoted at 11.00/10 percent, down from 11.05/10 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.02.2031 was quoted at 11.10/20 percent, up from 11.10/15 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.12.2032 was quoted at 11.58/68 percent, up from 11.55/65 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.06.2033 was quoted at 11.80/95 percent, up from 11.80/85 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.10.2034 was quoted at 12.08/15 percent, up from 12.05/12 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.08.2036 was quoted flat at 12.30/40 percent.

The telegraphic transfer rate for the dollar was 328.05 buying, 337.05 selling; the euro was 363.3528 buying, 377.1336 selling; pound was 437.5954 buying, 451.7038 selling.

On the Colombo Stock Exchange the All Share Price Index was up 0.78 percent, or 165.42 points, at 21,405; while the S&P SL20 was up 0.58 percent, 35.19 points, at 6,080.

90,000 million rupees Treasury bills are to be issued through an auction on November 11. (Colombo/Nov9/2026)