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Thursday September 17th, 2026

Sri Lanka inflation hits 15.1-pct in Feb 2022, a 13-year high

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s inflation in the capital Colombo accelerated to 15.1 percent in February 2022 from 14.2 percent in December, a 13-year high, after two years of money printing compounded by a commodity bubble fired by the US Federal Reserve.

In the month of February 2022, Sri Lanka Colombo Consumer Price Index, the most widely watched index rose 1.1 percent to 160.1 points after rising 2.4 percent a month earlier.

Sri Lanka has been printing money to keep interest rates down and expanding both reserve money and broad money since February 2020, after expanding the budget deficit by cutting taxes.

Sri Lanka printed 1.2 trillion rupees in 2021, a part of which was to repay debt buy reserves from the central bank as interest rates were too low to collect inflows from the current account.

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Sri Lanka money printing tops Rs1.2 trillion in 2021

Over the two years ending December 2021, broad money and reserve money both grew 40 percent.

Food prices are up 35 percent since February 2020, when money printing was ratcheted up.

Part of the inflation is coming from a rise in exported and imported commodities, which have risen as the US Fed fired a commodity bubble.

US inflation hit 7 percent, the highest since the early 1980s, when Fed Chief Paul Volcker ended the Great Inflation of the 1970s. The Sri Lanka rupee is loosely pegged to the US dollar.

Sri Lanka’s inflation is the highest since November 2008 when the CCPI Index hit 16.3 percent. The index had a higher weighting of food at the time but domestic monetary policy was tighter.

At the time the Greenspan-Bernanke bubble had just burst. US Fed chief Jerome Powell is also printing money blaming ‘transient inflation’ and supply chain bottlenecks.

Sri Lanka’s printed money money is spilling over to the balance of payments, creating forex shortages.

Gross official and forex reserves in January fell to 2.3 billion US dollars, with December imports at 2.2 billion US dollars. (Colombo/Feb28/2022)

Sri Lanka rupee at 332.00/40 to US dollar spot, bond yields consolidate

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s rupee was quoted at 332.00/40 to the US dollar in the spot market on Thursday, weaker from 330.70/331.20 the previous day, while bond yields consolidated, dealers said.

A bond maturing on 15.10.2028 was quoted at 10.70/90 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.09.2029 was quoted at 11.00/15 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.08.2030 was quoted at 11.45/50 percent, up from 11.25/35 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.10.2030 was quoted at 11.50/55 percent, up from 11.35/45 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.02.2031 was quoted at 11.65/70 percent, up from 11.40/50 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.11.2033 was quoted at 11.85/95 percent, down from 11.85/12.00 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.10.2034 was quoted at 12.10/20 percent, up from 11.95/12.00 percent.

The telegraphic transfer rate for the dollar was 327.50 buying, 336.50 selling; the euro was 372.9151 buying, 386.6959 selling; pound was 437.0094 buying, 451.1178 selling.

On the Colombo Stock Exchange the All Share Price Index was up 0.13 percent, or 27.84 points, at 21,161; while the S&P SL20 was up 0.10 percent, 6.05 points, at 5,955. (Colombo/Sep17/2026)

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Sri Lanka Treasury bill yields rise across maturities, Rs70bn sold

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Treasury bill yields rose across maturities at Wednesday’s auction, with all offered 70 billion rupees of bills sold, data from the Public Debt Management Office showed.

The 3-month bill was up 15 basis points at 9.18 percent, with all 25 billion rupees offered sold.

The 6-month bill was up 12 basis points at 9.36 percent, with all 25 billion rupees offered sold.

The 12-month bill was up 11 basis points 9.88 percent, with all 20 billion rupees offered sold.

All 3 bills are available on tap. (Colombo/Sep16/2026)

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Sri Lanka Customs reaches Rs.2 trillion revenue; likely to exceed 2026 target

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka Customs has reached Rs. 2 trillion revenue this year through September 15, its spokesman said, as the revenue-collecting body’s performance shows potential of exceeding the target for the second year.

Customs Spokesman Chandana Punchihewa said they have reached 2 trillion rupee revenue on Tuesday (15)

Customs’ 2026 revenue target was set at 2,207 billion rupees for this year. However, the revenue-collecting body collected over 90 percent of the target through September 15.

It has exceeded the monthly targets for the past eight consecutive months, official data showed.

Last year, Customs collected a record 2,551 billion rupees in revenue, exceeding a revised target of 2,241 billion rupees for the year and achieving 64.2% higher revenue than the previous year’s revenue of 1,553 million rupees.

Customs has set a revenue target of 2,207 billion rupees for this year, 13.5% less than last year as it expects a significant decline in car imports.

Sri Lanka Customs’ revenue jump is largely due to stronger enforcement, improved valuation practices, and a rebound in import volumes after years of contraction.

Following the 2022 economic crisis, imports fell sharply as the country imposed restrictions to conserve foreign exchange.

However, with the stabilization of reserves, the relaxation of certain import controls, and a steady recovery in consumer demand, customs collections from import duties, excise, and other levies have risen.

Officials note that tighter monitoring of under-invoicing and misdeclaration of goods has also boosted state revenue.

The combined effect of increased import activity, currency movements, and stricter enforcement has positioned Customs as one of the top revenue sources for the Treasury in 2025, providing a vital cushion as the state works to meet fiscal targets under the IMF-supported program. (Colombo/September 16/2026)

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Stocks down on Wednesday closing, food and beverage leads turnover

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Colombo Stock Exchange closed down on Wednesday trading, CSE data showed, with the benchmark All Share Price Index moving down 0.58 percent.

The ASPI was down 122.82 points at 21,139.31, while the more liquid S&P SL20 was down 0.38 percent, or 22.63 points, at 5,954.04.

Positive contributors to the ASPI were Richard Pieris and Company (up 2.18 percent at 28.10 rupees), Namunukula Plantations (up 6.03 percent at 70.30 rupees), Pan Asia Banking Corporation (up 1.94 percent at 52.60 rupees), and Ceylon Cold Stores (up 1.05 percent at 120.25 rupees).

John Keells Holdings (down 1.04 percent at 19.10 rupees), Melstacorp (down 0.81 percent at 183.25 rupees), RIL Property (down 3.75 percent at 23.10 rupees), and Cargills (Ceylon) (down 2.06 percent at 676.00 rupees) were top negative contributors.

Market turnover was 1.63 billion rupees. Food, Beverage & Tobacco led turnover with 782.3 million rupees.

Hunas Holdings entered into a partnership effective September 14 with CCH Inc, a Tokyo-based diversified business group, in relation to its real estate and hospitality sectors. (Colombo/September16/2026)

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EXPLAINER – Sri Lanka’s Q2 GDP growth slows; ME crisis, purchasing power, weather weigh

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s real Gross Domestic Product slowed to 4.2% in the second quarter of 2026 compared to the same period last year, weighed down by expensive energy prices following Middle East escalation, lower purchasing power amid higher taxes, and adverse weather conditions.

While the growth performance demonstrates ongoing recovery, it reflects a deceleration from the 5.0% growth registered in the second quarter of 2025 and a slowdown from the 5.1% expansion seen in the first quarter of 2026.

Analysts say external factors and policy dynamics weighed on economic expectations during the period.

Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East led to crude oil supply concerns and localized fuel price adjustments, which compressed household purchasing power and raised energy costs for domestic businesses.

Additionally, tourism performance remained subdued relative to expectations, limiting the broader spillover benefits typically seen across hospitality and retail services.

The economic moderation was primarily caused by a severe decline in agricultural production and a broader softening of service sector momentum.

Agriculture Down

Sri Lanka’s agriculture sector contracted by 2.3% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, reversing the 2.5% growth achieved in Q2 2025.

This downturn stemmed from a combination of severe local sub-sector slumps, adverse weather patterns, higher input costs, and shifting environmental factors.

There was a sharp decline in paddy and grain crops.

The cultivation of rice, the staple food of Sri Lankan agriculture, dropped by 15.1% in real value-added terms during Q2 2026.

This was primarily driven by lower overall yields from the 2025/26 main (Maha) harvesting cycle, alongside a reduction in total sown area due to water allocation constraints and localized dry spells preceding the Yala season.

Collapse in inland aquaculture and fishing added to the drop in the agricultural sector.

Freshwater fishing and aquaculture suffered the steepest drop across the entire national economy, collapsing by 61.0% in real terms.

Marine fishing also contracted by 10.1%. Reduced water levels in major inland reservoirs and inland water management disruptions severely impacted inland fish yields, while high marine fuel costs constrained small-scale offshore fishing operations.

The drop in commercial cash crops also weighed on the growth.

Major cash crops including sugarcane and tobacco registered significant output drops during the quarter.

Unfavorable weather transitions between growing cycles led to lower crop productivity across non-plantation commercial farming zones.

The quarter also witnessed a sharp depreciation of the rupee and significant increase in fuel prices.

Although fertilizer access improved relative to previous crisis years, intermediate operational costs including transportation, machine fuel, pesticides, and agricultural labor, remained high.

Elevated input pricing compressed profit margins for smallholder farmers, leading to reduced farming intensity in several rural districts.

Irregular rainfall patterns and early heat anomalies during the inter-monsoonal windows disrupted the planting schedules for seasonal field crops and fruits, reducing total harvest volumes during the second quarter.

While tree crops like coconut (+6.2%) and certain spices (+7.0%) performed well during the quarter, their gains were insufficient to offset the deep losses in paddy, fishing, and field crops.

Booming Industries

In contrast, Sri Lanka’s industrial sector grew by 7.3% in the second quarter of 2026, positioning it as the leading driver of national economic expansion. This growth offset the contraction in agriculture and outperformed the services sector.

The industrial sector expansion was contributed by a 13.9% growth in construction sector year-on-year. The resumption of stalled public infrastructure works, alongside private residential and commercial developments, led to increased demand across building sub-sectors.

The mining and quarrying sub-sector also surged by 17.4%. This expansion directly supported the construction boom, marked by higher extraction of sand, soil, stone, and other raw building materials.

Increased imports of capital inputs also contributed to industrial growth in the quarter. The rise in imports of industrial raw materials and machinery provided the structural input required to sustain higher manufacturing and construction throughput.

Overall manufacturing also grew by 3.2% during the quarter. Gains in food, beverage, and chemical product manufacturing offset weaker export demand for domestic textiles and apparel.

Subdued Services

Sri Lanka’s service sector recorded a growth rate of 2.7% in the second quarter of 2026, slowing down from the 4.0% expansion recorded in Q2 2025. While high-performing areas like IT programming (+10.0%), insurance (+8.0%), and financial services (+7.7%) supported the sector, several underlying domestic and external factors dragged down its broader momentum.

The Department of Census and Statistics (DCS) identified weaker-than-expected tourism growth during the quarter as a major factor. This muted performance directly constrained sub-sectors tied to visitor spending, limiting growth in accommodation, food, and beverage services to 2.9%.

Wholesale and retail trade, one of the largest single components of the service economy, grew by just 1.4% due to squeezed consumer purchasing power, driven by cumulative inflation and tax reforms like high value added tax, constrained domestic household spending and trade volumes.

Contraction in Public administration and defense by 2.4% also weighed on the service sector. Ongoing fiscal consolidation and expenditure curbs under Sri Lanka’s economic reform programs limited public sector recruitment, operational spending, and government services growth.

Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East led to crude oil supply concerns and energy market volatility during the second quarter. This raised transport and operational overheads for service businesses, dampening business sentiment.

In addition to these, personal, health, and educational services experienced minimal gains. Education grew by 1.3%, health services expanded by 1.4%, and other personal services grew by only 0.7%, reflecting cautious consumer spending on non-essential services. (Colombo/September 16/2026)

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Sri Lanka’s Printcare to raise Rs700mn in rights issue

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Printcare plans to raise 700 million rupees in a rights issue offering 19 new ordinary voting shares for every 70 ordinary voting shares.

23,333,810 ordinary voting shares will be offered at 30 rupees per share. 

The total consideration for which the shares are to be issued is at 700,014,300 rupees.

The current stated capital of the company is at 271,893,021 rupees.

The funds will be used for investment and working capital, the company said in a market filing.

The company’s shares were trading at 38.00 rupees, down 5 percent. (Colombo/September16/2026)

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