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Tuesday October 20th, 2026

VW scandal exposes cozy ties between industry and Berlin

BERLIN (Reuters) – Angela Merkel learned early in her political career that taking on the German car industry carries risks.

It was the spring of 1995 and the newly appointed environment minister was trying to convince her cabinet colleagues to back a bold new set of anti-smog rules that included tougher speed limits and summer driving bans.

But Matthias Wissmann, the transport minister with close ties to industry, was having none of it. He questioned whether Merkel’s measures would cut pollution levels at all and vowed to fight any attempt to impose speed limits on the Autobahn.

Wissmann’s argument won the day, reducing Merkel to tears, according to a 2010 biography by Gerd Langguth. For the ambitious young minister from the communist East it was a lesson about how politics worked in a united Germany.

Much has changed in the intervening years. Merkel is now in her third term as chancellor. Wissmann heads the Verband der Automobilindustrie (VDA), the influential lobby group for German automakers.

But there is one constant: the clout of the auto industry in German politics.

This relationship, which some describe as symbiotic, bordering on incestuous, is in the spotlight now, as Volkswagen <VOWG_p.DE>, the country’s largest carmaker, reels from an emissions scandal that has forced out its long-time CEO Martin Winterkorn and sent its stock careening lower.

There are no indications that German politicians were aware that VW was rigging its diesel emissions tests. Merkel and her leading ministers have expressed surprise and indignation at the revelations, urging VW to clear them up swiftly.

But authorities in Germany and elsewhere in Europe had known for years about the widening gap between emissions values measured in official laboratory tests and those recorded in a real-world environment.

Yet, critics say, Berlin fought hard to shield its carmakers from closer scrutiny and, in a high-profile clash with its European partners two years ago, from tougher emissions targets. Merkel has defended the stance as necessary in order to protect jobs in the sector.

Some see the VW scandal as symptomatic of a deeper problem in which German car companies have been allowed to do as they please without oversight or fear of reprisals from Berlin.

"The Volkswagen scandal is a warning shot to the politicians," said Christina Deckwirth of Berlin-based Lobby Control. "It shows they need to spend less time protecting the auto industry and more time overseeing it."

  

    POSTER CHILD

There are good reasons why Berlin stands by its car companies.

The industry employs over 750,000 people in Germany, has been a poster child for German engineering prowess and dwarfs other sectors of the economy.

In 2014, the big three carmakers, Volkswagen, Daimler and BMW, hauled in revenues of 413 billion euros, far bigger than the German federal budget, which stood at just under 300 billion.

This has bred a cozy relationship between the industry and politicians. Top auto lobbyist Wissmann is a veteran of Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) who, despite their cabinet clash 20 years ago, uses the familiar "Du" with the chancellor.

Daimler’s chief lobbyist is Eckart von Klaeden, a senior CDU politician who worked under Merkel in the chancellery and whose abrupt switch to the Mercedes manufacturer in 2013 prompted an investigation by Berlin prosecutors and new rules on "cooling off" periods.

His predecessor at Daimler was Martin Jaeger, now spokesman for Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble.

The ties cross party lines. Thomas Steg, a former spokesman under Social Democrat (SPD) chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, heads up government affairs at Volkswagen. Even former foreign minister Joschka Fischer of the environmentalist Greens has done ads for BMW in recent years.

The political connections are particularly strong at Volkswagen, whose arcane shareholder structure is laid out in the "Volkswagen Law" which dates back to 1960 and has faced repeated legal challenges at the European level.

The law effectively shields the company from takeovers and bestows hung influence on Lower Saxony, a state in central Germany that owns a 20 percent stake in VW and has been a stepping stone to national power for countless politicians.

Premiers of Lower Saxony who have sat on VW’s board include Schroeder, nicknamed the "Auto Chancellor", current Vice Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel and former president Christian Wulff.

When Schroeder launched his far-reaching reform of the German labor market in 2003, he turned to Peter Hartz, the human resources chief of VW, to steer it.

Years later, Hartz was at the center of another major scandal to hit VW, a tale of corruption involving lavish company trips for employee representatives, including visits to prostitutes. He received a suspended sentence and a fine.

The VW scandal has also exposed the toothlessness of Germany’s regulatory regime, opposition parties and industry experts say. The main oversight agency for the car sector, the Federal Motor Transport Authority, falls under the Transport Ministry in Berlin, raising questions about its independence and readiness to police the sector.

"The worst of all is that the automobile industry was left to do these tests themselves, there was no control," Oliver Kirscher, a lawmaker for the Greens said in a debate in the German parliament on Friday.

Industry group the VDA rejects the idea that controls were lax and says it has been pressing for reform of the test regime for emissions “intensively and constructively” for years.

      

    EMISSIONS FIGHT

Unlike her predecessor Schroeder, Merkel has no direct ties to the car industry.

But her stance has clearly evolved since her days as an environment minister under Helmut Kohl.

Back in 2009, in the months before she would run for a second term, she oversaw a controversial rescue – which later unraveled – of German carmaker Opel, going against the advice of her economy minister, who had argued that the General Motors unit should be allowed to go bankrupt.

Four years later, in the run-up to the next election and amid heavy pressure from the VDA, her government lobbied aggressively in Brussels – even threatening other countries in order to win their backing, according to diplomats – to water down new European rules on CO2 emissions that Daimler and BMW opposed. In a “Dear Angela” letter that later leaked, causing an uproar in the German media, Wissmann urged Merkel to fight the more ambitious targets.

"I think we need to ensure that in our drive to protect the environment we are not damaging our own industrial base," Merkel said at the time.

Months later, and only weeks after Merkel had won a third term, her party received donations totaling 690,000 euros from the family that controls BMW. The news sparked a backlash from opposition parties and the German media. The CDU said the money had "no connection to any political decisions".

Critics say that by doubling down on its premium carmakers and heeding their warnings about introducing ambitious emissions targets, Berlin has unwittingly discouraged innovation and harmed the industry’s long-term prospects.

Germany is a laggard on electric cars and is widely expected to miss a target of selling 1 million by the end of the decade. 

"Until now the German auto industry has been handled with kid gloves by the politicians," said Klaus Mueller, head of the Federation of German Consumer Organisations.

"Emissions targets were set at less than ambitious levels and agreement on new testing rules was delayed. Even worse, there was no mechanism for overseeing whether legal emissions limits were being met, at the cost of the environment and the consumer, as the VW case has now shown."

 

Sri Lanka’s Sampath Bank, David Pieris Automobiles launch vehicle financing partnership

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Sampath Bank and David Pieris Automobiles are partnering to offer customers preferential vehicle financing and ownership benefits.

Under the collaboration, customers purchasing vehicles through David Pieris Automobiles will receive a 0.5 percentage point reduction on published vehicle lease interest rates, subject to terms and conditions.

They will also have access to vehicle insurance premium loans with no interest if settled within two months, along with Sampath Bank credit cards that carry no joining fee and offer 0% interest instalment plans for insurance payments for up to 12 months.

David Pieris Automobiles, the four-wheeler sales arm of the David Pieris Group and distributor of GWM brands including HAVAL, TANK and ORA, as well as BAIC models, will provide additional customer benefits including free vehicle registration and a third labour-free vehicle service.

The two companies said the partnership reflects a shared commitment to meeting evolving mobility needs through accessible financing and automotive solutions. (Colombo/Oct20/2026)

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Sri Lanka’s Access Engineering drops S Asia logistics hub project, expects Rs1.45bn recovery

ECONOMYNEXT — Sri Lanka’s Access Engineering PLC said shareholders have agreed not to proceed with the South Asia Commercial and Logistics Hub project, following an initial corporate disclosure made in April 2023.

The parties have agreed to enter into a settlement agreement for the orderly termination of the project and all related agreements.

Under the planned settlement arrangements, Access Engineering anticipates recovering approximately 1.453 billion rupees from its total investment of roughly 1.762 billion rupees.

“The decision was made in view of changes in external circumstances, including adjustments to the project’s implementation environment and timetable, together with the respective commercial considerations of the parties,” Managing Director Rohana Fernando said in a filing to the Colombo Stock Exchange.

Access Engineering holds a 15 percent shareholding in South Asia Commercial and Logistics Hub Limited.

Under the settlement terms, the company expects to receive 3.286 million US dollars (equivalent to approximately 1.087 billion rupees) as its proportionate share of the settlement refund.

It will also receive approximately 365 million rupees representing its share of available distributable funds, based on an indicative exchange rate of 331 rupees per US dollar.

In its audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended March 31, 2026, the group had already recognized its share of losses amounting to approximately 387 million rupees, leaving the carrying value of the investment at roughly 1.38 billion rupees.

“Based on the anticipated settlement proceeds and the carrying value of the investment, no further material financial loss is presently anticipated in the Group’s consolidated financial statements,” Fernando said.

However, because the investment is carried at cost in the company’s separate financial statements, Access Engineering expects to recognize a company-level loss of approximately 310 million rupees.

The company noted that the final figures remain subject to the exchange rates applicable on actual transaction or payment dates, final settlement arrangements, and applicable accounting adjustments. (Colombo/Oct20/2026)

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Sri Lanka rupee weaker at 331.75/90 to US dollar spot, bond yields higher

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s rupee was quoted at 331.75/90 to the US dollar in the spot market on Tuesday, weaker from 331.60/70 the previous day, while bond yields were quoted higher, dealers said.

A bond maturing on 15.09.2029 was quoted at 11.10/30 percent, up from 11.10/25 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.08.2030 was quoted at 11.65/70 percent, up from 11.50/60 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.12.2031 was quoted at 11.90/12.00 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.01.2033 was quoted at 12.25/35 percent, up from 12.25/30 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.06.2034 was quoted at 12.50/55 percent, up from 12.40/50 percent.

The telegraphic transfer rate for the dollar was 327.10 buying, 336.10 selling; the euro was 364.3987 buying, 378.1795 selling; pound was 434.5676 buying, 448.6760 selling.

On the Colombo Stock Exchange the All Share Price Index was down 0.09 percent, or 18.32 points, at 20,041; while the S&P SL20 was broadly unchanged at 5,701. (Colombo/Oct20/2026)

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Global financial markets face rising risks from AI, bond yields, and cyberattacks: IMF

Financial markets have remained resilient amid solid economic growth and strong corporate earnings, while financial conditions have been relatively accommodative. However, there is no room for complacency.

Three key risks have been increasing, each with the potential for broader implications: an artificial intelligence-driven market correction, a sharper rise in sovereign bond yields, and cyberattacks.

Vulnerabilities beneath the surface could determine how damaging the manifestation of these risks would be, as we detail in the latest Global Financial Stability Report. An AI market correction could trigger broad deleveraging across asset classes. A bond yield shock could reprice assets and reduce the collateral value of bonds in financial transactions. A cyberattack could disrupt critical operations and weaken confidence. High borrowing, scarce liquidity, and tighter links across markets could amplify the impact into broader financial stress.

Heavy reliance on AI

AI has become an important support for the global economy and financial markets, as discussed in the World Economic Outlook. Investment in data centers, semiconductors, and related infrastructure has spurred economic activity, while companies driving the AI boom have delivered exceptional earnings growth. But faltering AI investment and profitability could challenge optimistic expectations and trigger a correction in asset prices linked to the AI industry.

Growing leverage could be a catalyst for such a correction. Hyperscalers, as the largest data center operators are known, are borrowing more and more, while investors have been leveraging to invest in AI stocks. Circular financing arrangements in the AI sector, involving equity and debt flows between AI firms, suggest that stress at key companies receiving investment could lower revenue forecasts and investment valuations, which in turn would weaken the value of the accumulated debt in those deals. Our review of 14 such transactions since 2023 found about $300 billion in equity investments and $650 billion in debt, in exchange for $1.4 trillion in future revenue commitments.

Government debt risks

Sovereign bond yields have risen amid renewed inflation pressures from higher energy prices, fiscal concerns, and, in some cases, stronger-than-expected economic growth. It may be the case that bond yields are moving back toward the levels seen before the global financial crisis, when growth and inflation were higher than in the 2010s. At the same time, risks of adverse feedback loops related to higher fiscal imbalances and leveraged trades in bond markets are increasing. In addition, as central banks have been reducing their balance sheets, greater reliance on price-sensitive investors could contribute to further yield volatility.

As government bonds underpin the global financial system, the consequences of higher sovereign yields could extend well beyond public debt. Higher yields could further raise discount rates and depress valuations across other assets, including those that are AI-related, while reducing the value of bonds used as collateral.

Cyberattacks

As finance becomes more digital and interconnected, cyber disruptions have emerged as a growing source of systemic risk. A major incident could disrupt payments, trading, access to deposits, or other critical financial services. The danger is particularly acute if an attack affects a major financial institution, payment system, cloud provider, or software platform, allowing disruption to spread through an increasingly interconnected financial system.

Importantly, cyber threats can be hard to contain. In more than 70 percent of reported cases so far this year, software providers had almost no time to patch vulnerabilities before attackers exploited them. That’s more than double the share in 2021, when providers typically had close to 300 days to fix vulnerabilities. Frontier AI models could accelerate both attacks and defenses, increasing the importance of cyber resilience, incident reporting, crisis preparedness, and oversight of critical third-party providers.

Financial fault lines

Underlying vulnerabilities could amplify the impact of these three risks into systemic events.

Although global banks, the core of the financial system, remain resilient overall under our adverse stress scenario, there could be weak links. Banks with 22 percent of global banking assets would emerge with post-stress capital ratios below regulatory limits, an increase from 18 percent a year ago. Moreover, the links of such banks with nonbank financial intermediaries are deepening, creating additional channels for transmitting stress.

Beyond banking, pension funds and insurers have steadily increased allocations to illiquid assets and derivatives, while relying more heavily on the same asset managers. This increases the risk that at a time of stress, they could face sudden liquidity needs through margin calls and could react in similar ways—for example by selling the same assets—amplifying market moves. Some of these institutions also hold illiquid private credit, another potential amplification channel.

At the same time, as borrowers have become more leveraged, some direct-lending funds have committed to provide funding on demand. If financial conditions tighten, borrowers could draw on those facilities just as the funds that provide them could be facing their own liquidity pressures. Such dynamics could further reduce credit to companies that need it most, with consequences for the broader economy.

In emerging and developing economies, bond yields have also risen, although their spreads compared with their advanced economy peers remain fairly compressed. However, recent global shocks have diminished buffers, thereby increasing external vulnerabilities and reducing their ability to absorb stress.

Policies to safeguard

With government debt high, inflation pressures re-emerging, and higher borrowing costs, policymakers have much less room to support the economy following shocks than in the past.

We see three priorities for action:

-Debt needs to be put on a sustainable path.
– Leverage and liquidity mismatches in AI, private credit, and other nonbank financial sectors should be limited, including through sectoral capital and concentration requirements on banks’ exposures to these sectors.
– Cyber defense capabilities need to be strengthened, for example through better incident reporting and resilience testing among financial institutions.
Emerging and developing economies should also rebuild buffers while financial conditions remain accommodative. Proactive policies are the best way to prepare as risks are rising.

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Sri Lanka rupee closes weaker at 331.60/70 to US dollar spot, bond yields higher

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s rupee closed at 331.60/770 to the US dollar in the spot market on Monday, weaker from 331.25/35 the previous day, while bond yields closed higher, dealers said.

A bond maturing on 15.09.2029 closed at 11.10/25 percent, up from 11.05/15 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.08.2030 closed at 11.50/60 percent, up from 11.40/50 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.10.2030 closed at 11.65/75 percent, up from 11.50/55 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.02.2031 closed at 11.75/80 percent, up from 11.55/65 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.12.2032 closed at 11.90/12.10 percent, up from 11.80/90 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.01.2033 closed at 12.25/30 percent, up from 11.95/12.05 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.06.2034 closed at 12.40/50 percent, up from 12.20/25 percent. (Colombo/Oct19/2026)

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Sri Lanka shares close down on Monday; ASPI falls 0.62-pct

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s Colombo Stock Exchange closed down on Monday, CSE data showed, with the benchmark All Share Price Index falling 0.62 percent.

The ASPI was down 125.63 points at 20,059.42, while the more liquid S&P SL20 was down 0.51 percent, or 29.36 points, at 5,709.47.

Raynal Wickremeratne, Head of Research and Strategy at NDB Securities, noted that market turnover remained low, with local sentiment reflecting the recent volatility and declines across regional Asian markets.

Positive contributors to the ASPI were Watawala Plantations (up 2.43 percent at 46.40 rupees), Richard Pieris and Company (up 1.54 percent at 26.40 rupees), Ceylon Cold Stores (up 0.62 percent at 122.00 rupees), and Commercial Bank of Ceylon (up 0.13 percent at 198.25 rupees).

Dialog Axiata (down 2.27 percent at 43.00 rupees), Overseas Realty (Ceylon) (down 2.00 percent at 49.00 rupees), John Keells Holdings (down 1.67 percent at 17.70 rupees), Hemas Holdings (down 1.29 percent at 30.50 rupees), and Hatton National Bank (down 0.79 percent at 375.00 rupees) were top negative contributors.

Market turnover was 680.32 million rupees. The banking sector led turnover with 188.71 million rupees, followed by capital goods with 177.78 million rupees.

Crossings were recorded in Seylan Bank for 98 million rupees and John Keells Holdings for 26 million rupees. (Colombo/Oct19/2026)

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