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Monday November 9th, 2026
Bellwether

How 'full employment' policies trigger social unrest in Sri Lanka to Bangladesh

In Sri Lanka and pegged countries, rate cuts also trigger outmigration as currencies collapse

August 6, 2024 9 min read

Sri Lanka bondholder deal: hair cuts, coupons, GDP-link, too much or too little?

Deeper haircuts are not a guarantee against future defaults

July 4, 2024 8 min read

Central bank swaps symptomatic of Sri Lanka's IMF return tickets and default: Bellwether

Outlawing central bank swaps should be a key measure in preventing a second default

June 24, 2024 12 min read

How Sri Lanka's elections are decided by macro-economists and the IMF: Bellwether

Stabilization provide fertile grounds to elect the fringe

May 21, 2024 20 min read
Sri Lanka should sell floating rate bonds to balance long term risks

True undated securities may be too ambitions but a start could be made with 5 to 10 year securities

Sri Lanka 'single' policy rate signals interbank rates to stay up

Sri Lanka does not actually have a single policy rate like the Bank of England now

Sri Lanka constitution making: how democracy does not equal freedom: Bellwether

In Sri Lanka when the elected ruling class tries to amend the constitution and amass greater power at the expense of ind...

Bellwether
October 19, 2020 13 min read

How Sri Lanka, Latin America was busted by Fed money doctors creating strongmen, anti-Americanism: B...

Sri Lanka's monetary instability, the rising cost of living, falling living standards and the resultant strikes, revolut

Bellwether
September 8, 2020 19 min read
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Sri Lanka's triple shackles converge to slam economy in Coronavirus crisis: Bellwether

The three fetters that shackle Sri Lanka's economic growth, peace and general happiness; monetary instability, regime un...

Bellwether
August 26, 2020 10 min read
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Sri Lanka's economic consequences of the peace; monetary instability and trade lockdown: Bellwether

While Sri Lanka defeated the Tamil Tigers in 2009 and the Coronavirus in 2020 – the battle is not yet over – it is r...

Bellwether
July 23, 2020 6 min read

Sri Lanka growth stalls, per capita GDP drops US$200 in 2019 after monetary instability

Sri Lanka's per person gross domestic product had dropped 227 dollars to 3,852 dollars in 2019 after a the latest curren...

Bellwether
May 10, 2020 10 min read

Sri Lanka battered by unceasing 'regime uncertainty: Bellwether

When the government changes ground rules and conditions or the operating regime suddenly, like in Sri Lanka, it is very ...

February 26, 2020 11 min read

Sri Lanka needs monetary discipline to avoid further downgrades: Bellwether

Sri Lanka will face credit downgrades and possible sovereign default of dollar debt

Bellwether
November 27, 2019 6 min read

President throws monkey wrench at Sri Lanka central bank reforms: Bellwether

Sri Lanka had stability until July 2019 with cash withdrawn by the central bank to keep a soft-peg with the US dollar un...

Bellwether
August 27, 2019 21 min read

Nick Leeson-style losses at Sri Lanka's CPC raise big questions: Bellwether

Finance Minister Mangala Samaraweera started a price formula in 2018 May just as fuel price started to spike, but the Ce...

Bellwether
July 30, 2019 10 min read

Sri Lanka's path to debt and destruction paved by currency collapse, REER targeting: Bellwether

The collapse of Sri Lanka's soft-pegged rupee, partly due to policy errors of the Central Bank and partly due to the fal...

July 2, 2019 14 min read
Morning Briefing Gain clarity on the biggest stories of the day with our daily newsletter, Morning Briefing
Latest Last
US Dollar 331.7485 330.8514
UK Pound 443.7468 438.3450
Euro 372.5204 371.0168
Yen 2.0969 2.0916
Aus Dollar 233.0533 231.1659
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
Latest Last
Indian Rupee 3.4948 3.4202
Korean Won 0.2499 0.2479
Oman Rial 861.6397 859.3320
Saudi Riyal 88.4403 88.0955
UAE Dirham 90.3209 90.0766
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
pts %
S&P SL20 5,656.91 -0.43%
CSE All Share 19,927.30 -0.28%
Turnover Rs 1457.79 million 1193.67 million
Source: CSE
Latest Last
3-m bill 7.61 7.84
6-m bill 7.91 8.26
12-m bill 8.23 8.3
3-yr bond 9.24 9.25
5-yr bond 9.82 9.56
8-yr bond 10.50 10.48
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
today yesterday
Overnight Money 7.70 7.69
Gilt Repo 7.74 7.72
I-m SLIBOR - -
Source: Central Bank/Indicative

Islamic State pan-nationalism slams into ethno-religious hate in Sri Lanka: Bellwether

In Sri Lanka, indoctrination and hate targeting communities not considered to be the 'core-nation' as defined in ethno-r...

Bellwether
June 20, 2019 25 min read

Sri Lanka should phase out term repo deals and allow rates to fall: Bellwether

The central bank should phase out term repo opeations to make the lower policy corridor active

Bellwether
May 29, 2019 7 min read

Hayek's warning: lost generation economics kill Sri Lanka's social market economy attempt: Bellwethe...

Sri Lanka's Central Bank which has printed tens of billions of rupees in 2018 to boost economic activity artificially ju...

Bellwether
May 9, 2019 15 min read

Sri Lanka goes from boom-bust to bust-bust with soft-peg: Bellwether

Sri Lanka is going from boom-bust to bust-bust in this credit cycle despite the injection of excess demand into the econ...

Bellwether
March 25, 2019 12 min read

Productive workers in Sri Lanka trapped between neo-serfdom and Samurai graduates: Bellwether

Sri Lanka's toiling workers in the private sector who stand on their own feet are an unfortunate lot, caught between a n...

Bellwether
February 17, 2019 10 min read

Sri Lanka has to reform soft-peg to avoid monetary instability, default: Bellwether

In 2018 instability generated by an inconsistent monetary policy framework not only killed a nascent economic recovery t...

Bellwether
February 15, 2019 15 min read

What went wrong; Sri Lanka's illiberal economics and unsound money : Bellwether

Sri Lanka's United National Party has well and truly lost its reputation for economic management during three and a half...

Bellwether
January 28, 2019 12 min read

Sri Lanka is not Greece, it is a Latin America style soft-peg: Bellwether

There are pronouncements that Sri Lanka is like Greece from both sides of the political divide, but that is not correct.

Bellwether
December 26, 2018 15 min read

Sri Lanka and Ecuador; a cautionary tale of the Rupee and Sucre: Bellwether

Fischer said if Ecuador has asked, IMF would have said it was not possible to dollarize as pre-conditions were not there

Bellwether
November 16, 2018 17 min read

Sri Lanka risks instability, stagflation by being in unstable PISIn soft-peg group: Bellwether

Sri Lanka's permanent currency depreciation worsened by periods of greater weakness is putting the country in danger

Bellwether
October 15, 2018 16 min read