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Monday November 9th, 2026
Bellwether

Sri Lanka vehicle imports not a threat to rupee but inflationary open market operations will be

Trade cannot cause monetary troubles. Monetary troubles are caused by flawed 'monetary policy'.

December 12, 2024 18 min read

Sri Lanka can cut floor rate, but targeting 'dysfunctional' call market will lead to trouble

Sri Lanka can cut or remove policy floor but should not print money for a mid corridor or single rate

November 25, 2024 13 min read

Sri Lanka could negotiate tax credits for dependents, medical with IMF

Cutting VAT without changing the law to display tax separately may lead to them from being pocketed by businesses

November 20, 2024 10 min read

Sri Lanka prints Rs100bn through open market operations

A central bank with 'instrument independence' can print money at will

October 27, 2024 10 min read
Sri Lanka faces external triple whammy from Trump regime uncertainty

US has complex problems ranging from fiscal to monetary, and any disruption to America tends to have ripple effects

Sri Lanka central bank skating on thin default ice with latest rate cut

The buffer is not foreign reserves as the IMF and macroeconomists imagine, it is the interest rate

Sri Lanka can trigger food shortages as in medicines with new trade controls: Bellwether

Forcing food importers to use LCs can create food shortages.

April 29, 2022 11 min read

What Sri Lanka's IMF program should look like

Steep rate hikes are needed to save the rupee

Bellwether
April 7, 2022 15 min read

Sri Lanka has to work fast to contain multiple defaults as Tanzi bites: Bellwether

A flexible exchange rate fails because it is not rule bound

Bellwether
April 1, 2022 9 min read

Sri Lanka has to hike rates, ensure monetary fiscal co-ordination to help rupee: Bellwether

Monetary fiscal co-ordination comes from an International Monetary Fund

March 10, 2022 4 min read
1

Sri Lanka use of reserves for imports is a deadly false choice: Bellwether

Sterilized currency defence, without an accompanying rise in rates, spells disaster

January 31, 2022 17 min read
1

Sri Lanka has to hike rates, before a float to end forex crisis: Bellwether

At the current policy rates and sterilization of interventions, forex problems will not get better

Bellwether
January 18, 2022 16 min read

Sri Lanka should prepare to float, and promote parallel dollarization: Bellwether

The proposal to import cars with dollar earnings and pay taxes in dollars is absolutely correct

December 21, 2021 16 min read

Why the Sri Lanka rupee is depreciating creating currency crises: Bellwether

A Bellwether FAQ on the dangerous lack of note-issue banking know-how

Bellwether
November 9, 2021 27 min read
1

How Sri Lanka's IMF-backed 'Young Plan' fired a foreign debt death spiral: Bellwether

In all years with inflationary policy, debt after foreign reserves went up

Bellwether
September 16, 2021 18 min read

Sri Lanka's monetary meltdown will accelerate unless quick action is taken: Bellwether

Debt re-structuring to reduce gross financing needs will help

Bellwether
August 18, 2021 19 min read
Morning Briefing Gain clarity on the biggest stories of the day with our daily newsletter, Morning Briefing
Latest Last
US Dollar 331.7485 330.8514
UK Pound 443.7468 438.3450
Euro 372.5204 371.0168
Yen 2.0969 2.0916
Aus Dollar 233.0533 231.1659
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
Latest Last
Indian Rupee 3.4948 3.4202
Korean Won 0.2499 0.2479
Oman Rial 861.6397 859.3320
Saudi Riyal 88.4403 88.0955
UAE Dirham 90.3209 90.0766
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
pts %
S&P SL20 5,656.91 -0.43%
CSE All Share 19,927.30 -0.28%
Turnover Rs 1457.79 million 1193.67 million
Source: CSE
Latest Last
3-m bill 7.61 7.84
6-m bill 7.91 8.26
12-m bill 8.23 8.3
3-yr bond 9.24 9.25
5-yr bond 9.82 9.56
8-yr bond 10.50 10.48
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
today yesterday
Overnight Money 7.70 7.69
Gilt Repo 7.74 7.72
I-m SLIBOR - -
Source: Central Bank/Indicative

Sri Lanka Minister follows Diocletian after printing money, but stops short of death penalty

Diocletian minted in copper in plenty what was scarce in silver, Sri Lanka is pumping liquidity in paper

Bellwether
August 13, 2021 5 min read

Sri Lanka economy bought to tipping point by monetary fallacies: Bellwether

Mercantilist fallacies have devasted countries at peace

Bellwether
August 11, 2021 21 min read

Sri Lanka to pick losers as omniscient elites drive interventionism to extremes: Bellwether

'A new type of superstition has got hold of people's minds, the worship of the state'

Bellwether
July 30, 2021 7 min read

Sri Lanka's central bank should guard against bankruptcy as Fed lights commodity fires

Sri Lanka's central bank is running out of reserves, a part of the remaining reserves are tied up in swaps, the country ...

Bellwether
April 19, 2021 25 min read

Sri Lanka debt crisis trapped in spurious Keynesian 'transfer problem' and MMT: Bellwether

In Sri Lanka politicians are blamed for the country's economic ills and rising default risk, but it is only partly their...

Bellwether
March 15, 2021 23 min read

How to fix Sri Lanka's debt crisis, unstable peg, avoid sudden stop event: Bellwether

Sri Lanka is facing a monumental state failure after denying economic and civil freedoms for decades

Bellwether
February 24, 2021 25 min read
3

Solving Sri Lanka's debt and monetary crisis sans the IMF, like Japan, Malaysia: Bellwether

The question is often asked whether Sri Lanka do without an International Monetary Fund program. It is certainly possi...

Bellwether
February 22, 2021 11 min read
1

Sri Lanka facing 2021 with reckless MMT, stimulus mania: Bellwether

Sri Lanka is heading for one of the biggest economic challenges in its history in 2021, with the central bank printing m...

Bellwether
January 26, 2021 15 min read

Why Sri Lanka cannot be a Singapore, a Chief Festus budget: Bellwether

Trade controls are coming back, with the Prebisch Springer hypothesis

Bellwether
December 21, 2020 18 min read
5

Why Sri Lanka cannot be a Vietnam, Coronavirus response: Bellwether

Sri Lanka was at one time talking about trying to be a Singapore, and then a Malaysia, and now it is talking about tryin...

December 1, 2020 10 min read
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