An Echelon Media Company
Monday November 9th, 2026
Bellwether

Will Sri Lanka's central bank do a Dudley to Anura with rupee depreciation?

Unless nipped in the bud, currency depreciation will lead to political instability

January 13, 2026 17 min read

Sri Lanka need not be a forex beggar nation, Treasury should charge dollar taxes

The priviledge of 'Government Acceptance' should be ended to stop the next default

December 22, 2025 10 min read

Sri Lanka's exchange rate depreciation by 'Political Ravishment'

Hunky dory depreciation is due to a flaw in the exchange rate policy

November 24, 2025 17 min read

Sri Lanka's central bank, IMF, World Bank should stop following Marx and rejecting economists

Spreading cost-push Mercantilism may help macro-economists escape accountability but it will not help the masses

October 21, 2025 23 min read
Sri Lanka above target primary budget surplus partly due to central bank 'deflation'

The high nominal interest rate which is a function of monetary instability and destruction of domestic capital

Sri Lanka's tax administration and justice - from revenue to repression

In one case matters 15 years old were raised. He ultimately simplified his affairs, and retreated from active business

Sri Lanka could negotiate tax credits for dependents, medical with IMF

Cutting VAT without changing the law to display tax separately may lead to them from being pocketed by businesses

Bellwether
November 20, 2024 10 min read

Sri Lanka prints Rs100bn through open market operations

A central bank with 'instrument independence' can print money at will

Bellwether
October 27, 2024 10 min read
1

IMF report brings dedollarization politics to Sri Lanka

Dedollarization and monetary policy modernization could turn the latest export powerhouse, Cambodia into a Sri Lanka

Bellwether
October 7, 2024 7 min read

In Sri Lanka deflation was common before the policy rate, IMF Second Amendment: Bellwether

Sri Lanka's inflation was the same as the US, before IMF's Second Amendment misled macroeconomists into bad anchors

October 1, 2024 6 min read

Sri Lanka told to go for single policy rate by IMF, target middle corridor rate

Exchange controls and depreciation, is sad indictment of a knowledge gap in the 'age of inflation'.

Bellwether
September 26, 2024 8 min read

Sri Lanka's central bank is 'independent' and only answerable to the IMF

The tragedy of the ungovernable third world with unsound money

Bellwether
September 11, 2024 23 min read
3

How 'full employment' policies trigger social unrest in Sri Lanka to Bangladesh

In Sri Lanka and pegged countries, rate cuts also trigger outmigration as currencies collapse

Bellwether
August 6, 2024 9 min read

Sri Lanka bondholder deal: hair cuts, coupons, GDP-link, too much or too little?

Deeper haircuts are not a guarantee against future defaults

July 4, 2024 8 min read

Central bank swaps symptomatic of Sri Lanka's IMF return tickets and default: Bellwether

Outlawing central bank swaps should be a key measure in preventing a second default

June 24, 2024 12 min read

How Sri Lanka's elections are decided by macro-economists and the IMF: Bellwether

Stabilization provide fertile grounds to elect the fringe

Bellwether
May 21, 2024 20 min read
Morning Briefing Gain clarity on the biggest stories of the day with our daily newsletter, Morning Briefing
Latest Last
US Dollar 331.7485 330.8514
UK Pound 443.7468 438.3450
Euro 372.5204 371.0168
Yen 2.0969 2.0916
Aus Dollar 233.0533 231.1659
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
Latest Last
Indian Rupee 3.4948 3.4202
Korean Won 0.2499 0.2479
Oman Rial 861.6397 859.3320
Saudi Riyal 88.4403 88.0955
UAE Dirham 90.3209 90.0766
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
pts %
S&P SL20 5,656.91 -0.43%
CSE All Share 19,927.30 -0.28%
Turnover Rs 1457.79 million 1193.67 million
Source: CSE
Latest Last
3-m bill 7.61 7.84
6-m bill 7.91 8.26
12-m bill 8.23 8.3
3-yr bond 9.24 9.25
5-yr bond 9.82 9.56
8-yr bond 10.50 10.48
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
today yesterday
Overnight Money 7.70 7.69
Gilt Repo 7.74 7.72
I-m SLIBOR - -
Source: Central Bank/Indicative

Sri Lanka could get hit from a disorderly US tumble: Bellwether

Every time the US engaged in bad policy Sri Lanka was hit

Bellwether
April 16, 2024 10 min read

Sri Lanka should not give standing facilities as lender of first resort: Bellwether

Sri Lanka should impose counterparty limits to liquidity tools and charge a premium

Bellwether
March 25, 2024 12 min read

Sri Lanka central bank salary hikes show lack of accountability for its actions

central bank essentially earns money to pay salaries essentially from seigniorage

Bellwether
February 26, 2024 9 min read

Sri Lanka should protest the 7-pct annual inflation target, not a 3-pct VAT hike

A positive inflation target denies private sector productivity gains to the poor

Bellwether
February 19, 2024 10 min read

Sri Lanka is recovering, but threats from central bank, US policy

At the moment the central bank is providing monetary stability seen in the exchange rate and inflation

Bellwether
January 22, 2024 14 min read
4

Why the IMF is hated now and is backing bad money in Sri Lanka and Latin America

Before the Second Amendment IMF could

Bellwether
December 19, 2023 13 min read
1

Sri Lanka VAT increase is better than killing economic freedoms with income tax

Tax slabs should keep pace with inflation, dependent allowances should be considered

Bellwether
November 9, 2023 7 min read

Sri Lanka's deficit lie: the inflationist narrative that leads to currency crises and default

Deficits do not rise much in the year that a currency crisis is triggered, but in the stabilization year

Bellwether
October 23, 2023 12 min read

Sri Lanka's new central bank act with John Law clause reverts to classical Mercantilism

Targeting GDP with easy money dates back to Scottish Mercantilist John Law and fully flexible policy to James Steuart.

Bellwether
October 17, 2023 13 min read

Sri Lanka should be cautious in expanding socialist leaning taxes

High direct tax rates, capital consumption taxes, are not a substitute for monetary stability

Bellwether
October 9, 2023 13 min read